07.08.2026 22:35
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
Referee: Pablo Echavarria
Rosario Central
Match Timeline
Aldosivi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
L. Sigali ↔ J. Pombo
Aldosivi
52'
A. Sosa
Aldosivi
🔄
56'
J. Fernandez ↔ J. Campaz
Rosario Central
🔄
61'
A. Vombergar ↔ N. Cordero
Aldosivi
61'
N. Zalazar
Rosario Central
🔄
67'
M. Garcia ↔ R. Gonzalez
Aldosivi
🔄
67'
L. Castro ↔ F. Perruzzi
Aldosivi
🔄
71'
V. Pizarro ↔ F. Navarro
Rosario Central
🔄
71'
G. Cantizano ↔ T. Badaloni
Rosario Central
80'
J. Campaz
Rosario Central
🔄
83'
M. Godoy ↔ N. Gaitan
Aldosivi
🔄
85'
A. Di Maria ↔ P. Fernandez
Rosario Central
🔄
85'
E. Copetti ↔ M. Cabrera
Rosario Central
🟨
90+2'
Rodrigo González
Aldosivi

Rosario Central vs Aldosivi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.3%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rosario Central Win 77.3%
Draw 4%
Aldosivi Win 18.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rosario Central1.22
Aldosivi0.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rosario Central Rosario Central
WWDLW
38 GF / 25 GA
Aldosivi Aldosivi
WLDWL
14 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
0.67
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
13
BTTS Yes
9
14
Over 2.5
5
4.86
Shots on Goal
2.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rosario Central Rosario Central 30 matches
Aldosivi Aldosivi 21 matches
Rosario Central Statistic Aldosivi
16 Wins 2
6 Draws 9
8 Losses 10
38 Goals For 14
25 Goals Against 24
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
13 BTTS Yes 9
20 Over 1.5 13
14 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 11
4.86 Shots On Goal 2.68
13.46 Total Shots 10.89
4.61 Corners 3.95
55.7% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Rosario Central's more proactive style and Aldosivi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Aldosivi. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rosario Central expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Aldosivi in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aldosivi having the stronger overall control. Rosario Central arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 28 points compared to Aldosivi in 14 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Rosario Central Analysis

Rosario Central come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 28 points from 16 matches. The record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 20:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Enzo Copetti (3 goals), Julián Fernández (2 goals), Ángel Di María (1 goals), with creative support from Ángel Di María (2 assists), Carlos Quintana (2 assists), Julián Fernández (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Aldosivi Analysis

Aldosivi sit 14 with 8 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats with a 6:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Tomás Fernández (1 goals), Nicolás Cordero (1 goals), Santiago Moya (1 goals), with creative support from Tomás Fernández (1 assists), Lucas Rodríguez (1 assists), Fernando Román (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Rosario Central won 9 times, Aldosivi won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:10 from Rosario Central's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Rosario Central 4-2-3-1 / Aldosivi 3-4-3
H2H summary: Rosario Central wins 9, draws 2, Aldosivi wins 3

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W D D D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D L L L W
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L D D L
Knockout Phase