FRANCE LIGUE 2
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Paul-Lignon
Referee: J. Brisard
Rodez
Match Timeline
Saint Etienne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
I. Balde · Assist: A. Trouillet
Rodez
🔄
46'
I. Miladinovic ↔ I. Cardona
Saint Etienne
54'
I. Balde
Rodez
🟨
55'
Ibrahima Baldé
Rodez
🔄
58'
K. Pedro ↔ L. Gadegbeku
Saint Etienne
🟨
69'
Augustine Boakye
Saint Etienne
🔄
72'
J. Mendes ↔ O. Joly
Rodez
🔄
72'
M. Saka ↔ W. Younoussa
Rodez
🔄
73'
E. Jean-Lambert ↔ R. Ponti
Rodez
🔄
73'
J. Duffus ↔ E. Annan
Saint Etienne
🔄
79'
I. Balde ↔ K. Nagera
Rodez
🔄
79'
A. Trouillet ↔ S. Benchamma
Rodez
89'
I. Cardona · Assist: A. Boakye
Saint Etienne
🟨
90'
Octave Joly
Rodez
🟨
90+4'
Luan Gadegbeku
Saint Etienne

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
71.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rodez Win 47.1%
Draw 4.6%
Saint Etienne Win 48.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rodez1.23
Saint Etienne1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rodez Rodez
WWDLW
44 GF / 39 GA
Saint Etienne Saint Etienne
WLDWL
68 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
23
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
21
3.69
Shots on Goal
4.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rodez Rodez 34 matches
Saint Etienne Saint Etienne 35 matches
Rodez Statistic Saint Etienne
14 Wins 19
13 Draws 6
7 Losses 10
44 Goals For 68
39 Goals Against 40
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
23 BTTS Yes 17
25 Over 1.5 26
16 Over 2.5 21
7 Over 3.5 12
7 Clean Sheets 12
7 Failed To Score 8
3.69 Shots On Goal 4.56
11.13 Total Shots 12.91
4.56 Corners 4.74
40.4% Ball Possession 58.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rodez expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Saint Etienne in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Saint Etienne having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Saint Etienne. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Rodez Analysis

Rodez sit 6 with 52 points after 32 league matches. The record of 13 wins, 13 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 41:37 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ibrahima Baldé (9 goals), K. Nagera (4 goals), S. Benchamma (4 goals), with creative support from E. Jean-Lambert (9 assists), Nolan Galves (6 assists), Mathis Saka (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Saint Etienne Analysis

Saint Etienne arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 57 points after 32 matches. The record of 17 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 53:36 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Z. Davitashvili (13 goals), Lucas Stassin (10 goals), I. Cardona (6 goals), with creative support from A. Boakye (8 assists), I. Cardona (6 assists), Lucas Stassin (5 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Rodez won 3 times, Saint Etienne won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:10 from Rodez's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Rodez 5-3-2 / Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rodez wins 3, draws 4, Saint Etienne wins 2
Stats
Rodez Rodez
Saint Etienne Saint Etienne
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 7
11 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 4
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 7
7 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
345 Total passes 505
279 Passes accurate 442
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Rodez
Formation
Saint Etienne
Q. Braat
Q. Braat
N. Galves
N. Galves
L. Laurent
L. Laurent
M. Magnin
M. Magnin
R. Lipinski
R. Lipinski
E. Jean-Lambert
E. Jean-Lambert
J. Mendes
J. Mendes
A. Trouillet
🎯
A. Trouillet
M. Saka
M. Saka
I. Balde
⚽ 2
I. Balde
T. Arconte
T. Arconte
G. Larsonneur
G. Larsonneur
K. Pedro
K. Pedro
M. Bernauer
M. Bernauer
M. Nade
M. Nade
A. Kante
A. Kante
D. Appiah
D. Appiah
A. Boakye
🎯
A. Boakye
I. Miladinovic
I. Miladinovic
B. Old
B. Old
L. Stassin
L. Stassin
J. Duffus
J. Duffus
Rodez 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
Q. Braat
G
25
N. Galves
D
24
L. Laurent
4
M. Magnin
D
3
R. Lipinski
D
15
E. Jean-Lambert
↓ 73'
D
6
J. Mendes
↓ 72'
M
27
A. Trouillet
🎯 17' ↓ 79'
M
28
M. Saka
↓ 72'
M
18
I. Balde
⚽ 17' ⚽ 54' ↓ 79' 🟨 55'
F
11
T. Arconte
F
Substitutes
30
E. Crombez
G
9
K. Nagera
↑ 79'
F
13
C. Issanchou Roubiou
22
O. Joly
↑ 72' 🟨 90'
M
26
S. Benchamma
↑ 79'
M
20
R. Ponti
↑ 73'
D
8
W. Younoussa
↑ 72'
M
Saint Etienne 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
30
G. Larsonneur
G
39
K. Pedro
↓ 58'
D
6
M. Bernauer
D
3
M. Nade
D
14
A. Kante
M
8
D. Appiah
M
20
A. Boakye
🎯 89' 🟨 69'
M
28
I. Miladinovic
↓ 46'
M
11
B. Old
M
9
L. Stassin
F
17
J. Duffus
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
1
B. Maubleu
G
19
E. Annan
↑ 73'
D
35
L. Gadegbeku
↑ 58' 🟨 90+4'
M
18
A. Soumahoro
D
7
I. Cardona
⚽ 89' ↑ 46'
F
13
J. Ferreira
D
51
A. Baallal
M
Last matches: Rodez
22.07.26
Fri
Rodez
Nimes
2
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Rodez
Cannes
4
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Rodez
Bastia
5
3
W
15.05.26
Lig
Rodez
Saint Etienne
0
0
D
12.05.26
Lig
Rodez
RED Star FC 93
3
2
W
09.05.26
Lig
Rodez
Annecy
2
1
W
24.04.26
Lig
Rodez
Laval
0
0
D
17.04.26
Lig
Rodez
Amiens
3
2
W
13.04.26
Lig
Rodez
Estac Troyes
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lig
Rodez
Dunkerque
1
1
D
20.03.26
Lig
Rodez
Bastia
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Rodez
Reims
2
1
W
06.03.26
Lig
Rodez
Grenoble
1
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
Rodez
Guingamp
0
0
D
20.02.26
Lig
Rodez
Montpellier
1
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
Rodez
Clermont Foot
2
1
W
06.02.26
Lig
Rodez
Boulogne
2
1
W
30.01.26
Lig
Rodez
RED Star FC 93
1
1
D
23.01.26
Lig
Rodez
Nancy
3
1
W
16.01.26
Lig
Rodez
Le Mans
1
1
D
Last matches: Saint Etienne
22.07.26
Fri
Saint Etienne
Rangers
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Saint Etienne
Servette FC
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Saint Etienne
Biel-Bienne
2
2
D
29.05.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Nice
1
4
L
26.05.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Nice
0
0
D
15.05.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Rodez
0
0
D
09.05.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Amiens
5
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Estac Troyes
0
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Bastia
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Dunkerque
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Nancy
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Annecy
4
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Grenoble
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
RED Star FC 93
2
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
PAU
3
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Laval
2
1
W
14.02.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Guingamp
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Montpellier
1
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Boulogne
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Reims
0
1
L
H2H: Rodez vs Saint Etienne
15.05.26
H2H
Saint Etienne
Rodez
0
0
D
02.05.26
H2H
Rodez
Saint Etienne
2
1
W
16.08.25
H2H
Saint Etienne
Rodez
4
0
L
27.07.24
H2H
Rodez
Saint Etienne
0
0
D
24.05.24
H2H
Saint Etienne
Rodez
2
0
L
10.05.24
H2H
Saint Etienne
Rodez
1
1
D
12.08.23
H2H
Rodez
Saint Etienne
2
1
W
29.04.23
H2H
Rodez
Saint Etienne
1
1
D
12.11.22
H2H
Saint Etienne
Rodez
0
2
W
29.10.22
H2H
Saint Etienne
Rodez
0
0
D
Last matches: Rodez
22.07.26
Fri
Rodez
Nimes
2
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Rodez
Cannes
4
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Rodez
Bastia
5
3
W
17.04.26
Lig
Rodez
Amiens
3
2
W
13.04.26
Lig
Rodez
Estac Troyes
2
1
W
20.03.26
Lig
Rodez
Bastia
1
1
D
06.03.26
Lig
Rodez
Grenoble
1
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Rodez
Montpellier
1
0
W
30.01.26
Lig
Rodez
RED Star FC 93
1
1
D
16.01.26
Lig
Rodez
Le Mans
1
1
D
12.12.25
Lig
Rodez
Guingamp
2
1
W
21.11.25
Lig
Rodez
Dunkerque
1
1
D
28.10.25
Lig
Rodez
Annecy
2
1
W
17.10.25
Lig
Rodez
Reims
2
2
D
26.09.25
Lig
Rodez
PAU
1
2
L
19.09.25
Lig
Rodez
Clermont Foot
0
1
L
29.08.25
Lig
Rodez
Boulogne
1
0
W
22.08.25
Lig
Rodez
Laval
1
1
D
09.08.25
Lig
Rodez
Nancy
0
0
D
H2H at home: Rodez
02.05.26
H2H
Rodez
Saint Etienne
2
1
W
27.07.24
H2H
Rodez
Saint Etienne
0
0
D
12.08.23
H2H
Rodez
Saint Etienne
2
1
W
29.04.23
H2H
Rodez
Saint Etienne
1
1
D
Last matches: Saint Etienne
22.07.26
Fri
Saint Etienne
Rangers
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Saint Etienne
Servette FC
0
1
L
29.05.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Nice
1
4
L
18.04.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Bastia
0
2
L
04.04.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Nancy
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Grenoble
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
PAU
3
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Guingamp
2
1
W
24.01.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Reims
0
1
L
03.01.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Le Mans
0
0
D
21.12.25
Cou
Saint Etienne
Nice
1
2
L
06.12.25
Lig
Saint Etienne
Dunkerque
0
1
L
15.11.25
Cou
Saint Etienne
Quetigny
3
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Saint Etienne
Estac Troyes
3
2
W
01.11.25
Lig
Saint Etienne
RED Star FC 93
1
2
L
25.10.25
Lig
Saint Etienne
Annecy
0
4
L
04.10.25
Lig
Saint Etienne
Montpellier
2
0
W
23.09.25
Lig
Saint Etienne
Amiens
1
0
W
13.09.25
Lig
Saint Etienne
Clermont Foot
2
1
W
23.08.25
Lig
Saint Etienne
Boulogne
1
0
W
H2H away: Saint Etienne
02.05.26
H2H
Rodez
Saint Etienne
2
1
L
27.07.24
H2H
Rodez
Saint Etienne
0
0
D
12.08.23
H2H
Rodez
Saint Etienne
2
1
L
29.04.23
H2H
Rodez
Saint Etienne
1
1
D

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5
Rodez Home
34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6 34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16 34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation