AUSTRIA BUNDESLIGA
20.09.2026 12:30
Josko Arena
Referee: Alexander Harkam

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.91
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.71
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.1%
1.91
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.71
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.2%
1.37
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Ried Win 37%
Draw 18.9%
Wolfsberger AC Win 44.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ried1.68
Wolfsberger AC2.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ried Ried
WWDLW
36 GF / 32 GA
Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC
WLDWL
51 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.68
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
14
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
12
4.5
Shots on Goal
2.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ried Ried 18 matches
Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 19 matches
Ried Statistic Wolfsberger AC
7 Wins 10
4 Draws 5
7 Losses 4
36 Goals For 51
32 Goals Against 23
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.68
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
14 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 3
4.5 Shots On Goal 2.67
15 Total Shots 9.5
4.67 Corners 3.17
48.7% Ball Possession 41.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Wolfsberger AC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ried expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Wolfsberger AC in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wolfsberger AC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Ried Analysis

With 5 points from 6 games and a place of 9, Ried still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 7:11 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on N. Sissoko (2 goals), S. Schwab (1 goals), J. Nasrawe (1 goals), with creative support from A. Bajić (2 assists), S. Schwab (1 assists), J. Nasrawe (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wolfsberger AC Analysis

Wolfsberger AC sit 8 with 5 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 6:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Giacomo Vrioni (4 goals), A. Schwarz (1 goals), with creative support from D. Avdijaj (2 assists), F. Wohlmuth (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ried won 4 times, Wolfsberger AC won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from Ried's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.1%)
Predicted formations: Ried 4-2-3-1 / Wolfsberger AC 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Ried wins 4, draws 5, Wolfsberger AC wins 6

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 21:7 14 18
W W L W W
2 6 5 0 1 16:4 12 15
L W W W W
3 6 4 2 0 15:4 11 14
D W W W D
4 6 3 2 1 8:6 2 11
W L D W W
5 7 2 2 3 9:12 -3 8
L D W W L
6 7 2 2 3 8:11 -3 8
W L L D W
7 7 2 2 3 6:16 -10 8
D W D L L
8 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
D W W L L
9 7 2 1 4 7:13 -6 7
D W L L W
10 6 1 2 3 6:9 -3 5
L L D L D
11
Ried Home
6 1 2 3 7:11 -4 5
D L W L L
12 7 1 0 6 5:12 -7 3
L L L L L
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)