BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Evandro Almeida
Referee: R. Abatti
Remo
Match Timeline
Atletico-MG
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
Jaja · Assist: Marllon
Remo
34'
Reinier · Assist: A. Preciado
Atletico-MG
38'
Bernard · Assist: A. Minda
Atletico-MG
🔄
46'
Matheus Alexandre ↔ Alef Manga
Remo
🔄
46'
L. Picco ↔ David Braga
Remo
🔄
57'
Bernard ↔ Victor Hugo
Atletico-MG
🔄
58'
A. Minda ↔ Cuello
Atletico-MG
🔄
66'
Reinier ↔ M. Cassierra
Atletico-MG
🔄
66'
Maycon ↔ Igor Gomes
Atletico-MG
🔄
72'
Jaja ↔ Vitor Bueno
Remo
74'
Gabriel Taliari · Assist: Vitor Bueno
Remo
🟨
77'
Alan Franco
Atletico-MG
VAR
77'
Kauã Pascini
Atletico-MG
🔄
83'
Ze Ricardo ↔ Patrick
Remo
🔄
84'
M. Cisse ↔ T. Borbas
Atletico-MG
🟨
86'
Zé Welison
Remo
🔄
88'
Mayk ↔ Jaderson
Remo
🟨
89'
Victor Hugo
Atletico-MG

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.1%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Remo Win 30.8%
Draw 17.1%
Atletico-MG Win 52.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Remo1.18
Atletico-MG1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Remo Remo
WWDLW
24 GF / 34 GA
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
WLDWL
25 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
11
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
9
3.9
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Remo Remo 21 matches
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 20 matches
Remo Statistic Atletico-MG
5 Wins 8
6 Draws 4
10 Losses 8
24 Goals For 25
34 Goals Against 25
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
11 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 7
3.9 Shots On Goal 4.25
11.86 Total Shots 12.65
4.38 Corners 4.65
42.4% Ball Possession 45%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico-MG. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Remo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico-MG in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico-MG having the stronger overall control. Remo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Atletico-MG carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 28 points while Remo sit 19 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Remo Analysis

Remo sit 19 with 21 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats with a 24:34 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Alef Manga (5 goals), Jajá (5 goals), Gabriel Taliari (3 goals), with creative support from Alef Manga (3 assists), Vitor Bueno (2 assists), Patrick de Paula (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico-MG Analysis

So far, Atletico-MG have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 28 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 25:25 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Victor Hugo (4 goals), Tomás Cuello (2 goals), M. Cassierra (2 goals), with creative support from Hulk (3 assists), Bernard (2 assists), Renan Lodi (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Remo won 0 times, Atletico-MG won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Remo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)
Predicted formations: Remo 4-2-3-1 / Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Remo wins 0, draws 2, Atletico-MG wins 2
Stats
Remo Remo
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
4
5 Corner Kicks 2
13 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
388 Total passes 562
330 Passes accurate 494
0.67 expected_goals 1.07
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Remo
Formation
Atletico-MG
Marcelo Rangel
Marcelo Rangel
Matheus Alexandre
Matheus Alexandre
Marllon
🎯
Marllon
Matheus Felipe
Matheus Felipe
Mayk
Mayk
Ze Welison
Ze Welison
L. Picco
L. Picco
Yago Pikachu
Yago Pikachu
Ze Ricardo
Ze Ricardo
Jaja
Jaja
Gabriel Taliari
Gabriel Taliari
Everson
Everson
A. Preciado
🎯
A. Preciado
Ruan Tressoldi
Ruan Tressoldi
Vitor Hugo
Vitor Hugo
K. Pascini
K. Pascini
M. Cisse
M. Cisse
Maycon
Maycon
A. Franco
A. Franco
A. Minda
🎯
A. Minda
Reinier
Reinier
Bernard
Bernard
Remo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
88
Marcelo Rangel
G
2
Matheus Alexandre
↓ 46'
D
13
Marllon
🎯 3'
D
4
Matheus Felipe
D
77
Mayk
↓ 88'
D
28
Ze Welison
🟨 86'
M
14
L. Picco
↓ 46'
M
22
Yago Pikachu
M
55
Ze Ricardo
↓ 83'
M
7
Jaja
⚽ 3' ↓ 72'
M
19
Gabriel Taliari
⚽ 74'
F
Substitutes
97
Ivan
G
94
Ygor Vinhas
G
8
Patrick
↑ 83'
M
10
Jaderson
↑ 88'
F
11
Alef Manga
↑ 46'
F
5
Leo Andrade
D
9
Gabriel Poveda
F
35
Edson Fernando
M
39
Eduardo Melo
F
26
David Braga
↑ 46'
M
15
Vitor Bueno
🎯 74' ↑ 72'
F
61
Tico
M
Atletico-MG 4-3-3
Starting XI
22
Everson
G
23
A. Preciado
🎯 34'
D
4
Ruan Tressoldi
D
14
Vitor Hugo
D
36
K. Pascini
D
39
M. Cisse
↓ 84'
M
8
Maycon
↓ 66'
M
21
A. Franco
🟨 77'
M
27
A. Minda
🎯 38' ↓ 58'
F
19
Reinier
⚽ 34' ↓ 66'
F
11
Bernard
⚽ 38' ↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
31
Robert
G
1
Gabriel Delfim
G
9
M. Cassierra
↑ 66'
F
2
Natanael
D
30
Victor Hugo
↑ 57' 🟨 89'
M
5
Alexsander
M
92
Dudu
F
13
Lyanco
D
17
Igor Gomes
↑ 66'
M
28
Cuello
↑ 58'
F
18
T. Borbas
↑ 84'
F
25
T. Perez
M
Last matches: Remo
17.08.26
Ser
Remo
Internacional
1
1
D
29.07.26
Ser
Remo
Mirassol
1
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
Remo
Vitoria
2
0
W
23.07.26
Ser
Remo
Corinthians
0
3
L
31.05.26
Ser
Remo
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Remo
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Remo
Chapecoense-sc
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Remo
Palmeiras
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Remo
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Remo
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Remo
RB Bragantino
2
4
L
11.04.26
Ser
Remo
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Remo
Gremio
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Remo
Santos
0
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Remo
Bahia
4
1
W
19.03.26
Ser
Remo
Flamengo
0
3
L
15.03.26
Ser
Remo
Coritiba
0
1
L
12.03.26
Ser
Remo
Fluminense
0
2
L
25.02.26
Ser
Remo
Internacional
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Remo
Atletico-MG
3
3
D
Last matches: Atletico-MG
16.08.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
3
0
W
26.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
1
W
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
H2H: Remo vs Atletico-MG
08.08.26
H2H
Remo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
11.02.26
H2H
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
10.06.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Remo
2
1
L
02.06.21
H2H
Remo
Atletico-MG
0
2
L
Last matches: Remo
26.07.26
Ser
Remo
Vitoria
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Remo
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Remo
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Remo
Palmeiras
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Remo
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Remo
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Remo
Bahia
4
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Remo
Fluminense
0
2
L
25.02.26
Ser
Remo
Internacional
1
1
D
04.02.26
Ser
Remo
Mirassol
2
2
D
H2H at home: Remo
08.08.26
H2H
Remo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
02.06.21
H2H
Remo
Atletico-MG
0
2
L
Last matches: Atletico-MG
26.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
H2H away: Atletico-MG
08.08.26
H2H
Remo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
02.06.21
H2H
Remo
Atletico-MG
0
2
W

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 14 6 3 40:19 21 48
L D W L W
2 22 13 6 3 44:19 25 45
W W D D W
3 23 12 5 6 31:20 11 41
D W D W W
4 23 10 8 5 34:28 6 38
W D D D D
5 23 10 6 7 32:32 0 36
W W W L W
6 23 8 10 5 32:28 4 34
D D D D D
7 22 9 5 8 27:23 4 32
D L D D W
8 22 9 5 8 30:27 3 32
W D W D W
9 23 8 8 7 25:22 3 32
L W D D W
10 23 8 7 8 28:30 -2 31
D W L D L
11 22 8 6 8 35:34 1 30
L D W D W
12 23 8 5 10 23:33 -10 29
W L L L D
13 22 7 6 9 27:26 1 27
D L D L L
14 22 6 7 9 32:35 -3 25
W L D L W
15 22 6 7 9 24:30 -6 25
L W D L L
16 23 5 9 9 24:28 -4 24
D D D L L
17 22 6 5 11 25:35 -10 23
L L W D W
18
Remo Home
23 5 8 10 27:37 -10 23
D D L W L
19 22 5 7 10 23:34 -11 22
L D D L L
20 22 1 8 13 23:46 -23 11
D L D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B