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17.10.2026 18:00
Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza

Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Pilar Win 84.3%
Draw 8.2%
Ituzaingó Win 7.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Pilar1.31
Ituzaingó0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Pilar Real Pilar
WWDLW
42 GF / 42 GA
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó
WLDWL
27 GF / 68 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
0.68
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
19
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Pilar Real Pilar 40 matches
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó 40 matches
Real Pilar Statistic Ituzaingó
17 Wins 1
10 Draws 13
13 Losses 26
42 Goals For 27
42 Goals Against 68
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
19 BTTS Yes 19
27 Over 1.5 29
15 Over 2.5 18
4 Over 3.5 11
12 Clean Sheets 8
13 Failed To Score 20
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Real Pilar's more proactive style and Ituzaingó's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ituzaingó. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ituzaingó arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Real Pilar arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 61 points compared to Ituzaingó in 22 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ituzaingó having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Real Pilar Analysis

So far, Real Pilar have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 61 points from 38 matches. Their overall return of 17 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 42:38 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Ituzaingó Analysis

With 15 points from 38 games and a place of 22, Ituzaingó still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 12 draws, and 25 defeats with a 25:62 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 15 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Real Pilar won 0 times, Ituzaingó won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:6 from Real Pilar's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 0.88 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.5%)
H2H summary: Real Pilar wins 0, draws 4, Ituzaingó wins 4

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 39 23 8 8 63:30 33 77
W L W W W
2 39 20 12 7 53:26 27 72
W L W L W
3 39 19 11 9 47:29 18 68
W W W D L
4 39 19 11 9 41:24 17 68
D L W D L
5 39 17 14 8 39:24 15 65
D L D W L
6 39 17 13 9 44:30 14 64
D L L L L
7 39 17 10 12 42:38 4 61
D W W W W
8 39 17 10 12 42:39 3 61
L W L W W
9 39 14 14 11 39:34 5 56
D D D W D
10 39 13 13 13 47:51 -4 52
D W L L D
11 39 12 14 13 40:44 -4 50
L W L W W
12 39 11 14 14 40:43 -3 47
L L W D L
13 39 11 14 14 37:43 -6 47
L W W D D
14 39 10 15 14 37:52 -15 45
D D L W L
15 39 11 11 17 34:41 -7 44
L L L W L
16 39 9 17 13 32:39 -7 44
D D D D W
17 39 10 14 15 32:40 -8 44
D W L L W
18 39 9 15 15 25:37 -12 42
W D W D L
19 39 11 9 19 35:48 -13 42
W D L L W
20 39 9 14 16 33:40 -7 41
L D W L W
21 39 6 20 13 22:35 -13 38
W W D L L
22 39 1 13 25 27:64 -37 16
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)