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29.11.2026 16:00

Real Madrid vs Alaves Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Alaves Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid1.96
Alaves1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid Real Madrid
WWDLW
45 GF / 18 GA
Alaves Alaves
WLDWL
19 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.65
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
12
BTTS Yes
7
14
Over 2.5
6
7.67
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Madrid Real Madrid 17 matches
Alaves Alaves 13 matches
Real Madrid Statistic Alaves
14 Wins 5
1 Draws 4
2 Losses 4
45 Goals For 19
18 Goals Against 12
2.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
12 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 9
14 Over 2.5 6
9 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 2
7.67 Shots On Goal 4.78
17.33 Total Shots 12.78
6.5 Corners 3.78
52.1% Ball Possession 42.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 13 times, Alaves won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:10 from Real Madrid's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-2-3-1 / Alaves 5-3-2
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 13, draws 0, Alaves wins 2

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 9 0 0 39:9 30 27
W W W W W
2 9 7 1 1 19:8 11 22
W W W W W
3 9 7 0 2 23:9 14 21
W W L W W
4 9 6 1 2 16:14 2 19
L W D W W
5 9 5 1 3 17:17 0 16
W W W L W
6 9 4 2 3 14:16 -2 14
L D L W W
7 9 3 2 4 13:10 3 11
L L D L L
8 9 2 5 2 10:7 3 11
W D W D D
9 9 2 5 2 13:12 1 11
D L D L D
10 9 3 2 4 10:18 -8 11
W L D L L
11 9 2 4 3 15:17 -2 10
W D D L L
12 9 2 3 4 13:13 0 9
D L W W L
13 8 2 3 3 8:9 -1 9
L D D D
14 8 2 3 3 12:17 -5 9
D D W L
15 9 2 3 4 5:11 -6 9
D L W L D
16 9 2 2 5 11:12 -1 8
L D L L W
17 9 2 2 5 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
18 9 1 4 4 11:17 -6 7
D D W L D
19 9 1 3 5 6:15 -9 6
D D L W L
20 9 0 4 5 6:18 -12 4
L D L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2