COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
21.09.2026 22:00
Estadio Municipal de Mosquera

Real Cundinamarca vs Quindio Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.7%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.01
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.7%
1.36
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.01
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.51
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
2.48
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.60
Correct Score 2-0
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Real Cundinamarca Win 40.6%
Draw 12.3%
Quindio Win 47.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Cundinamarca0.95
Quindio1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca
WWDLW
27 GF / 27 GA
Quindio Quindio
WLDWL
30 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.62
13
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca 23 matches
Quindio Quindio 29 matches
Real Cundinamarca Statistic Quindio
6 Wins 14
9 Draws 9
8 Losses 6
27 Goals For 30
27 Goals Against 18
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.62
13 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 15
7 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Quindio's more proactive style and Real Cundinamarca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Quindio. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Quindio carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 51 points while Real Cundinamarca sit 11 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Quindio having the stronger overall control.

Real Cundinamarca Analysis

Real Cundinamarca sit 11 with 27 points after 23 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 27:27 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Quindio Analysis

Placed 3 with 51 points from 28 outings, Quindio continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 29:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Real Cundinamarca won 2 times, Quindio won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from Real Cundinamarca's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.7%)
H2H summary: Real Cundinamarca wins 2, draws 3, Quindio wins 1

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 15 8 8 50:35 15 53
L W L W W
2 29 15 8 6 38:27 11 53
W L L L W
3 29 14 9 6 30:18 12 51
L D D W W
4 30 14 8 8 40:28 12 50
D D L L L
5 29 14 6 9 40:28 12 48
W L L W L
6 29 10 8 11 27:25 2 38
D W L W W
7 23 9 9 5 23:16 7 36
W D W W L
8 24 9 7 8 29:29 0 34
L W W W L
9 29 9 7 13 35:39 -4 34
L L W W L
10 29 8 10 11 23:30 -7 34
D L L W L
11 23 6 9 8 27:27 0 27
W W W L D
12 22 6 7 9 17:23 -6 25
L L L W D
13 23 5 9 9 25:30 -5 24
W W D L L
14 23 5 8 10 24:32 -8 23
W W W W L
15 24 4 7 13 15:39 -24 19
L D L L L
16 23 3 8 12 20:37 -17 17
L D W W D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)