Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
41.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Racing Montevideo
22 matches
Club Nacional
29 matches
| Racing Montevideo | Statistic | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 13 |
| 8 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 12 |
| 27 | Goals For | 42 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 7.38 |
| 0 | Corners | 3.75 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 29.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Racing Montevideo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Club Nacional in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Nacional having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Club Nacional.
Placed 3 with 41 points from 22 outings, Racing Montevideo continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, while the 27:17 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Club Nacional are currently 6 in the standings with 35 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 34:29 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Racing Montevideo won 0 times, Club Nacional won 12 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:30 from Racing Montevideo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Club Nacional
Boston River
Club Nacional
Progreso
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Juventud
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Cerro
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Juventud
Club Nacional
Progreso
Club Nacional
Boston River
Club Nacional
Penarol
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Cerro
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Juventud
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 43 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Racing Montevideo
Home
|
22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 27:17 | 10 | 41 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
| 4 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 33:27 | 6 | 35 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Club Nacional
Away
|
22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 34:29 | 5 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 34 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 27 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 22 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 22 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 15:34 | -19 | 22 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 18:35 | -17 | 16 |
L
L
W
L
L
|