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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
17.07.2026 11:00
Guzhenkou University Sports Center
Referee: Yinhao Shen, China
Qingdao Youth Island
Match Timeline
Chengdu Better City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
4'
Wellington Silva
Chengdu Better City
⚽
23'
N. Da Luz
Qingdao Youth Island
🟨
34'
Elnizar Lohman
Qingdao Youth Island
🟨
41'
Yu Dong
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
46'
Abduweli Behram ↔ Felipe Silva
Chengdu Better City
🟨
53'
Wei Shihao
Chengdu Better City
🔄
58'
Wang Ziming ↔ Romulo
Chengdu Better City
🔄
58'
H. Hu ↔ Wang Dongsheng
Chengdu Better City
🔄
64'
Yang Zhanpeng ↔ Zhang Chengdong
Qingdao Youth Island
🟨
68'
Yang Ming-Yang
Chengdu Better City
🔄
70'
Lohman Elnizar ↔ S. Jin
Qingdao Youth Island
🟨
74'
Davidson
Qingdao Youth Island
⚽
76'
Felipe Silva
Chengdu Better City
🔄
81'
Y. Li ↔ Y. Dong
Chengdu Better City
🟨
90+1'
Xinli Peng
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
90+1'
Peng Xinli ↔ Meng Jingchao
Qingdao Youth Island

Qingdao Youth Island vs Chengdu Better City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Qingdao Youth Island Win 36.5%
Draw 12.3%
Chengdu Better City Win 51.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Qingdao Youth Island1.17
Chengdu Better City1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island
WWDLW
23 GF / 31 GA
Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better City
WLDWL
39 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
14
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
12
3.61
Shots on Goal
5.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island 20 matches
Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better City 21 matches
Qingdao Youth Island Statistic Chengdu Better City
5 Wins 13
10 Draws 4
5 Losses 4
23 Goals For 39
31 Goals Against 25
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
14 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 4
3.61 Shots On Goal 5.28
10.61 Total Shots 14.89
4.33 Corners 7.06
43.6% Ball Possession 56.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Chengdu Better City's more proactive style and Qingdao Youth Island's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Chengdu Better City. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Chengdu Better City carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 42 points while Qingdao Youth Island sit 6 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Qingdao Youth Island Analysis

Qingdao Youth Island sit 6 with 24 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 22:28 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chengdu Better City Analysis

Chengdu Better City come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 42 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 38:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Felipe Silva (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Qingdao Youth Island won 0 times, Chengdu Better City won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:17 from Qingdao Youth Island's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.7%)
Predicted formations: Qingdao Youth Island 4-2-3-1 / Chengdu Better City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Qingdao Youth Island wins 0, draws 4, Chengdu Better City wins 2

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation