ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez
Referee: J. Balino
Platense
Match Timeline
Boca Juniors
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
T. Silva
Platense
🔄
46'
M. Pellegrino ↔ A. Costa
Boca Juniors
🔄
46'
L. Paredes ↔ Miguel Merentiel
Boca Juniors
53'
K. Retamar
Platense
🔄
65'
T. Silva ↔ S. Quiros
Platense
🔄
65'
G. Mainero ↔ B. Merlini
Platense
🔄
65'
G. Togni ↔ F. Minerva
Platense
🟨
68'
M. Delgado
Boca Juniors
🔄
70'
L. Lozano ↔ D. Gorosito
Boca Juniors
VAR
71'
L. Gimenez
Platense
🔄
74'
S. Villa ↔ A. Velasco
Boca Juniors
🔄
75'
L. Gimenez ↔ G. Lencina
Platense
80'
Miguel Merentiel · Assist: S. Ascacibar
Boca Juniors
🟨
84'
S. Ascacibar
Boca Juniors
🔄
84'
I. Gomez ↔ P. Ferreira
Platense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.4%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Platense Win 18.3%
Draw 6.3%
Boca Juniors Win 75.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Platense0.8
Boca Juniors1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Platense Platense
WWDLW
24 GF / 31 GA
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
WLDWL
41 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
12
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
11
4.04
Shots on Goal
4.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Platense Platense 29 matches
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 32 matches
Platense Statistic Boca Juniors
8 Wins 15
11 Draws 10
10 Losses 7
24 Goals For 41
31 Goals Against 24
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
12 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 21
9 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 15
13 Failed To Score 7
4.04 Shots On Goal 4.74
11.81 Total Shots 13.93
4.07 Corners 5.41
49.5% Ball Possession 59.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Boca Juniors's more proactive style and Platense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Boca Juniors. Boca Juniors carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 30 points while Platense sit 12 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Platense have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Platense Analysis

Platense approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 16 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats with a 10:15 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Bautista Merlini (2 goals), Nicolás Retamar (1 goals), Tomas Nasif (1 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Retamar (1 assists), Tomas Nasif (1 assists), Juan Gauto (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Boca Juniors Analysis

Placed 2 with 30 points from 16 outings, Boca Juniors continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, while the 22:9 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Milton Giménez (4 goals), Alan Velasco (3 goals), Adam Bareiro (3 goals), with creative support from Tomás Aranda (3 assists), Miguel Merentiel (2 assists), Exequiel Zeballos (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Platense won 1 times, Boca Juniors won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:12 from Platense's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Platense 4-2-3-1 / Boca Juniors 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Platense wins 1, draws 3, Boca Juniors wins 4

Lineups

Platense
Formation
Boca Juniors
J. Cozzani
J. Cozzani
A. Lagos
A. Lagos
I. Vazquez
I. Vazquez
M. Mendia
M. Mendia
T. Silva
T. Silva
I. Gomez
I. Gomez
M. Barrios
M. Barrios
G. Mainero
G. Mainero
K. Retamar
K. Retamar
G. Togni
G. Togni
L. Gimenez
L. Gimenez
A. Montero
A. Montero
L. Lozano
L. Lozano
L. Di Lollo
L. Di Lollo
M. Pellegrino
M. Pellegrino
L. Blanco
L. Blanco
S. Ascacibar
🎯
S. Ascacibar
L. Paredes
L. Paredes
M. Delgado
M. Delgado
L. Flores
L. Flores
T. Aranda
T. Aranda
S. Villa
S. Villa
Platense 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
30
J. Cozzani
4
A. Lagos
13
I. Vazquez
34
M. Mendia
3
T. Silva
↓ 65' 🟨 17'
5
I. Gomez
↓ 84'
24
M. Barrios
7
G. Mainero
↓ 65'
43
K. Retamar
⚽ 53'
16
G. Togni
↓ 65'
20
L. Gimenez
↓ 75'
Substitutes
22
N. Sumavil
31
Victor Cuesta
25
J. Saborido
32
S. Quiros
↑ 65'
10
F. Zapiola
26
P. Ferreira
↑ 84'
17
F. Bussio
18
B. Merlini
↑ 65'
99
G. Lencina
↑ 75'
33
J. Gauto
11
N. Lopez
27
S. Dalmasso
29
F. Minerva
↑ 65'
Boca Juniors 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Montero
17
L. Lozano
↓ 70'
2
L. Di Lollo
26
M. Pellegrino
↓ 46'
3
L. Blanco
25
S. Ascacibar
🎯 80' 🟨 84'
5
L. Paredes
↓ 46'
18
M. Delgado
🟨 68'
19
L. Flores
10
T. Aranda
22
S. Villa
↓ 74'
Substitutes
12
L. Brey
4
J. Figal
32
A. Costa
↑ 46'
24
D. Gorosito
↑ 70'
8
T. Belmonte
21
K. Zenon
27
M. Braida
7
Carlos Palacios
23
C. Rey Domenech
11
Angel Romero
16
Miguel Merentiel
⚽ 80' ↑ 46'
20
A. Velasco
↑ 74'
Last matches: Platense
28.08.26
Cop
Platense
Instituto Cordoba
1
1
D
23.08.26
Lig
Platense
Barracas Central
2
1
W
19.08.26
CON
Platense
Coquimbo Unido
0
0
D
12.08.26
CON
Platense
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
09.08.26
Lig
Platense
Independiente
1
0
W
03.08.26
Lig
Platense
Talleres Cordoba
0
4
L
30.07.26
Lig
Platense
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
25.07.26
Lig
Platense
Union Santa Fe
2
2
D
28.05.26
CON
Platense
Corinthians
2
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Platense
Santa Fe
1
2
L
13.05.26
Cop
Platense
San Martin S.J.
0
0
D
07.05.26
CON
Platense
Penarol
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Platense
Estudiantes L.P.
0
2
L
29.04.26
CON
Platense
Santa Fe
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Platense
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
20.04.26
Lig
Platense
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3
4
L
17.04.26
CON
Platense
Penarol
2
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Platense
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
10.04.26
CON
Platense
Corinthians
0
2
L
01.04.26
Lig
Platense
Lanus
0
0
D
Last matches: Boca Juniors
24.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Racing Club
1
1
D
08.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
05.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
02.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Newells Old Boys
2
2
D
26.07.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra
0
3
L
17.07.26
Cop
Boca Juniors
Sarmiento Junin
2
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
29.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
0
1
L
20.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
09.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Huracan
2
3
L
06.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
23.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
4
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
River Plate
1
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
3
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Independiente
1
1
D
08.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Instituto Cordoba
2
0
W
H2H: Platense vs Boca Juniors
16.08.26
H2H
Platense
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
15.02.26
H2H
Boca Juniors
Platense
0
0
D
02.06.24
H2H
Platense
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
27.01.24
H2H
Platense
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
19.08.23
H2H
Boca Juniors
Platense
3
1
L
19.02.23
H2H
Boca Juniors
Platense
3
1
L
07.08.22
H2H
Boca Juniors
Platense
2
1
L
26.08.21
H2H
Platense
Boca Juniors
1
3
L
Last matches: Platense
28.08.26
Cop
Platense
Instituto Cordoba
1
1
D
12.08.26
CON
Platense
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
03.08.26
Lig
Platense
Talleres Cordoba
0
4
L
25.07.26
Lig
Platense
Union Santa Fe
2
2
D
13.05.26
Cop
Platense
San Martin S.J.
0
0
D
07.05.26
CON
Platense
Penarol
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Platense
Estudiantes L.P.
0
2
L
29.04.26
CON
Platense
Santa Fe
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Platense
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Platense
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
10.04.26
CON
Platense
Corinthians
0
2
L
14.03.26
Lig
Platense
Velez Sarsfield
0
2
L
24.02.26
Lig
Platense
Defensa Y Justicia
0
0
D
21.02.26
Lig
Platense
Barracas Central
1
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
Platense
Independiente
0
1
L
05.02.26
Cop
Platense
Argentino Monte Maíz
1
0
W
26.01.26
Lig
Platense
Instituto Cordoba
2
1
W
02.05.18
Pri
Platense
CA Estudiantes
1
0
W
24.04.18
Pri
Platense
Talleres Remedios
3
0
W
13.04.18
Pri
Platense
Barracas Central
1
0
W
H2H at home: Platense
16.08.26
H2H
Platense
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
02.06.24
H2H
Platense
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
27.01.24
H2H
Platense
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
26.08.21
H2H
Platense
Boca Juniors
1
3
L
Last matches: Boca Juniors
24.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Racing Club
1
1
D
02.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Newells Old Boys
2
2
D
26.07.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra
0
3
L
17.07.26
Cop
Boca Juniors
Sarmiento Junin
2
0
W
06.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
23.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
4
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
River Plate
1
0
W
08.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe
1
1
D
05.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Lanus
3
0
W
09.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
1
2
L
29.01.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
H2H away: Boca Juniors
16.08.26
H2H
Platense
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
02.06.24
H2H
Platense
Boca Juniors
1
0
L
27.01.24
H2H
Platense
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
26.08.21
H2H
Platense
Boca Juniors
1
3
W

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
L W L L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
D D D W D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D D D W W
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D L L W L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
D W L L W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
D L W L L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
D W L L W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
W L L W L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
D W W W W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W D W L W
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
W W L W L
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
W D W L L
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L W W L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
W W L D L
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D L W L L
Knockout Phase