CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 60%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
60%
1.33
BTTS Yes
75%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.50
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Sichuan Jiuniu Win 40%
Draw 18.7%
SHANGHAI SIPG Win 41.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sichuan Jiuniu1.49
SHANGHAI SIPG1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu
WWDLW
33 GF / 43 GA
SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG
WLDWL
40 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
13
BTTS Yes
19
13
Over 2.5
17
4.08
Shots on Goal
3.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu 24 matches
SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG 26 matches
Sichuan Jiuniu Statistic SHANGHAI SIPG
8 Wins 9
3 Draws 7
13 Losses 10
33 Goals For 40
43 Goals Against 43
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
13 BTTS Yes 19
19 Over 1.5 22
13 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 11
4 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 4
4.08 Shots On Goal 3.92
11.67 Total Shots 11.46
5.13 Corners 5.67
44.9% Ball Possession 58.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and SHANGHAI SIPG's more proactive style and Sichuan Jiuniu's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward SHANGHAI SIPG. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Sichuan Jiuniu have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sichuan Jiuniu expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and SHANGHAI SIPG in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SHANGHAI SIPG having the stronger overall control.

Sichuan Jiuniu Analysis

With 26 points from 23 games and a place of 9, Sichuan Jiuniu still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 32:42, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Wesley Moraes (2 goals), Zhipeng Jiang (2 goals), Albion Ademi (1 goals), with creative support from Wesley Moraes (3 assists), Albion Ademi (1 assists), Li Ning (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

SHANGHAI SIPG Analysis

SHANGHAI SIPG sit 8 with 26 points after 23 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 37:32 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Zhen Wei (1 goals), Yue Xin (1 goals), with creative support from Leonardo (1 assists), Óscar Melendo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Sichuan Jiuniu won 0 times, SHANGHAI SIPG won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:15 from Sichuan Jiuniu's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.3%)
Predicted formations: Sichuan Jiuniu 4-1-4-1 / SHANGHAI SIPG 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sichuan Jiuniu wins 0, draws 2, SHANGHAI SIPG wins 4
Last matches: Sichuan Jiuniu
22.08.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Hangzhou Greentown
1
1
D
15.08.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shenyang Urban
2
1
W
07.08.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
0
4
L
02.08.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
2
0
W
26.07.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Yunnan Yukun
3
4
L
18.07.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Wuhan Three Towns
0
2
L
11.07.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
3
0
W
04.07.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Tianjin Teda
0
3
L
27.06.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chengdu Better City
2
3
L
30.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Jonoon
3
2
W
24.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shanghai Shenhua
2
1
W
19.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Dalian Zhixing
1
1
D
15.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Henan Jianye
0
1
L
10.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shandong Luneng
1
2
L
06.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Hangzhou Greentown
1
2
L
26.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
21.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
0
1
L
17.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Yunnan Yukun
3
4
L
Last matches: SHANGHAI SIPG
23.08.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Qingdao Jonoon
2
1
W
19.08.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Dalian Zhixing
1
1
D
14.08.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Wuhan Three Towns
3
2
W
09.08.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3
2
W
01.08.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shandong Luneng
0
1
L
25.07.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shanghai Shenhua
2
0
W
17.07.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Yunnan Yukun
2
2
D
04.07.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Qingdao Youth Island
1
2
L
27.06.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
29.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shenyang Urban
2
3
L
23.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Tianjin Teda
1
1
D
19.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Chengdu Better City
1
0
W
15.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Hangzhou Greentown
2
2
D
10.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Beijing Guoan
2
2
D
06.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Qingdao Jonoon
1
3
L
25.04.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Wuhan Three Towns
4
0
W
21.04.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
2
L
17.04.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shandong Luneng
1
1
D
11.04.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shanghai Shenhua
0
1
L
H2H: Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG
21.07.26
H2H
SHANGHAI SIPG
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
1
D
06.05.26
H2H
SHANGHAI SIPG
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
1
D
30.06.25
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
2
L
23.02.25
H2H
SHANGHAI SIPG
Sichuan Jiuniu
3
1
L
13.09.24
H2H
SHANGHAI SIPG
Sichuan Jiuniu
2
0
L
05.05.24
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
SHANGHAI SIPG
0
6
L
Last matches: Sichuan Jiuniu
22.08.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Hangzhou Greentown
1
1
D
02.08.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
2
0
W
11.07.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
3
0
W
27.06.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chengdu Better City
2
3
L
30.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Jonoon
3
2
W
19.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Dalian Zhixing
1
1
D
10.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shandong Luneng
1
2
L
26.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
21.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
0
1
L
12.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Yunnan Yukun
3
4
L
05.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Wuhan Three Towns
5
2
W
14.03.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Tianjin Teda
1
0
W
H2H at home: Sichuan Jiuniu
30.06.25
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
2
L
05.05.24
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
SHANGHAI SIPG
0
6
L
Last matches: SHANGHAI SIPG
14.08.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Wuhan Three Towns
3
2
W
09.08.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3
2
W
17.07.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Yunnan Yukun
2
2
D
04.07.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Qingdao Youth Island
1
2
L
27.06.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
29.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shenyang Urban
2
3
L
19.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Chengdu Better City
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Beijing Guoan
2
2
D
02.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Qingdao Jonoon
1
3
L
17.04.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shandong Luneng
1
1
D
11.04.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shanghai Shenhua
0
1
L
20.03.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Dalian Zhixing
0
1
L
26.01.26
Fri
SHANGHAI SIPG
Zenit
0
6
L
22.01.26
Fri
SHANGHAI SIPG
Zenit
1
4
L
H2H away: SHANGHAI SIPG
30.06.25
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
2
W
05.05.24
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
SHANGHAI SIPG
0
6
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.11
Draw 3.77
Home 3.16
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.54
Home 3.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 2.75 1.61
Over 3.0 1.77
Over 3.25 2.02
Over 3.5 2.23
Over 3.75 2.56
Over 4.5 3.70
Over 5.5 6.71
Under 1.5 5.34
Under 2.5 2.54
Under 2.75 2.30
Under 3.0 2.03
Under 3.25 1.81
Under 3.5 1.65
Under 3.75 1.50
Under 4.5 1.26
Under 5.5 1.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.95
Draw 3.75
Home 3.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.50
Home 3.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.25
Draw 2.75
Home 3.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.20
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 8.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 29.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 17.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.05
Draw 3.96
Home 3.26
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.45
Draw 2.38
Home 3.54
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.26
Draw 2.78
Home 3.24
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 1.75 1.13
Over 2.0 1.16
Over 2.25 1.30
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 2.75 1.56
Over 3.0 1.72
Over 3.25 2.03
Over 3.5 2.28
Over 3.75 2.50
Over 4.0 3.06
Over 4.25 3.30
Over 4.5 3.58
Over 4.75 4.44
Over 5.0 5.95
Over 5.25 6.30
Over 5.5 6.60
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 29.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 14.50
Under 1.0 10.50
Under 1.5 5.05
Under 1.75 4.60
Under 2.0 4.15
Under 2.25 2.97
Under 2.5 2.43
Under 2.75 2.20
Under 3.0 1.95
Under 3.25 1.80
Under 3.5 1.64
Under 3.75 1.44
Under 4.0 1.30
Under 4.25 1.25
Under 4.5 1.21
Under 4.75 1.14
Under 5.0 1.07
Under 5.25 1.06
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.92
Draw 3.80
Home 3.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.28
Draw 2.35
Home 3.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.18
Draw 2.85
Home 3.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.0 1.81
Over 3.5 2.28
Over 4.5 3.85
Over 5.5 6.75
Under 1.5 4.60
Under 2.5 2.33
Under 3.0 1.86
Under 3.5 1.54
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 5.5 1.06

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 6 4 49:29 20 48
L W L D D
2 24 11 8 5 48:32 16 36
D W W W W
3 24 8 12 4 28:29 -1 36
W D D W W
4 24 11 3 10 35:40 -5 36
W D L W D
5 24 10 5 9 49:45 4 35
D W W L W
6 24 12 3 9 42:40 2 33
L W W W L
7 24 7 9 8 25:28 -3 30
L D L L L
8 24 9 7 8 39:33 6 29
W D W W L
9 24 11 5 8 47:42 5 28
W L W W L
10 24 8 3 13 33:43 -10 27
D W L W L
11 23 8 6 9 34:40 -6 25
D L L W D
12 23 7 4 12 33:39 -6 25
D L L W L
13 23 8 6 9 31:33 -2 24
D L D D W
14 23 7 7 9 32:30 2 18
D L L W W
15 22 4 9 9 30:38 -8 16
D L D W W
16 24 6 3 15 32:46 -14 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation