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TURKEY › 1. LIG
25.10.2026 10:30
Pendik Stadyumu

Pendikspor vs Kayserispor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Pendikspor Win 25%
Draw 3.6%
Kayserispor Win 71.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pendikspor1.1
Kayserispor1.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pendikspor Pendikspor
WWDLW
17 GF / 25 GA
Kayserispor Kayserispor
WLDWL
28 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
2
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
10
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
8
3.55
Shots on Goal
5.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pendikspor Pendikspor 13 matches
Kayserispor Kayserispor 14 matches
Pendikspor Statistic Kayserispor
3 Wins 9
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 2
17 Goals For 28
25 Goals Against 11
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
10 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 1
3.55 Shots On Goal 5.27
12.27 Total Shots 14.64
4.36 Corners 4.73
53.4% Ball Possession 56.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Kayserispor's more proactive style and Pendikspor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pendikspor expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Kayserispor in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kayserispor having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kayserispor look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Kayserispor carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 25 points while Pendikspor sit 15 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Kayserispor.

Pendikspor Analysis

Pendikspor sit 15 with 10 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats with a 12:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Başsan (2 goals), H. Yeşil (1 goals), Thuram (1 goals), with creative support from H. Yeşil (2 assists), Thuram (1 assists), Y. Sönmez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kayserispor Analysis

Kayserispor come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 25 points after 10 matches. With 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:5, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by T. Seferi (9 goals), D. Moreno (7 goals), B. Keser (2 goals), with creative support from G. Sağlam (3 assists), B. Keser (2 assists), J. Tabidze (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Pendikspor won 1 times, Kayserispor won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Pendikspor's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Pendikspor 4-1-4-1 / Kayserispor 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Pendikspor wins 1, draws 0, Kayserispor wins 2

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 2 1 24:7 17 26
D W W W W
2 11 8 1 2 22:9 13 25
W W L W D
3 11 7 2 2 15:8 7 23
W D W D W
4 11 5 5 1 21:11 10 20
W D W D D
5 11 6 2 3 22:19 3 20
D W L L L
6 11 5 3 3 14:10 4 18
L W W L L
7 11 6 0 5 17:17 0 18
W L W W W
8 11 4 4 3 14:15 -1 16
D L D W D
9 11 3 6 2 13:14 -1 15
W L D D D
10 11 3 5 3 16:8 8 14
L D W L D
11 11 3 5 3 13:10 3 14
W W L D W
12 11 2 7 2 15:14 1 13
D D W D D
13 11 3 4 4 14:15 -1 13
L L D W D
14 11 2 6 3 10:13 -3 12
W D W L D
15 10 2 4 4 9:10 -1 10
W D W L
16 11 2 4 5 18:20 -2 10
L D L L D
17 11 2 4 5 12:21 -9 10
L L L D D
18 11 2 3 6 10:22 -12 7
L W L L D
19 11 1 2 8 9:26 -17 5
L L L W L
20 10 0 1 9 3:22 -19 1
L L L D
Promotion - Super Lig
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Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
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