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21.10.2026 01:00
Estadio Libertad Financiera

Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atletico San Luis Win 22.4%
Draw 4.1%
Club Queretaro Win 73.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico San Luis1.44
Club Queretaro1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
WWDLW
30 GF / 22 GA
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
WLDWL
20 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
8
BTTS Yes
6
12
Over 2.5
5
4.18
Shots on Goal
4.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 16 matches
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 13 matches
Atletico San Luis Statistic Club Queretaro
7 Wins 8
4 Draws 3
5 Losses 2
30 Goals For 20
22 Goals Against 10
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
8 BTTS Yes 6
14 Over 1.5 9
12 Over 2.5 5
9 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 2
4.18 Shots On Goal 4.1
12.73 Total Shots 13.2
3.09 Corners 4.8
52.9% Ball Possession 39.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Club Queretaro's more proactive style and Atletico San Luis's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Club Queretaro look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Club Queretaro carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 20 points while Atletico San Luis sit 15 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Club Queretaro. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico San Luis expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Club Queretaro in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Queretaro having the stronger overall control.

Atletico San Luis Analysis

With 12 points from 11 games and a place of 15, Atletico San Luis still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats with a 15:20 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Salles-Lamonge (3 goals), D. Rodríguez (3 goals), Rafa Llorente (3 goals), with creative support from S. Salles-Lamonge (2 assists), L. Flores (2 assists), D. Rodríguez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Club Queretaro Analysis

Club Queretaro come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 20 points after 10 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a 15:8 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on S. Homenchenko (3 goals), A. Ávila (3 goals), M. Coronel (2 goals), with creative support from Iker Benito (2 assists), E. Giménez (2 assists), S. Homenchenko (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico San Luis won 6 times, Club Queretaro won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:20 from Atletico San Luis's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Atletico San Luis 3-4-2-1 / Club Queretaro 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico San Luis wins 6, draws 3, Club Queretaro wins 6

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:11 11 21
D W D L W
2 11 6 2 3 25:15 10 20
L D L W W
3 10 6 2 2 15:8 7 20
W W D W W
4 11 5 4 2 18:11 7 19
D L D W W
5 11 5 3 3 15:12 3 18
D W D W L
6 11 5 3 3 17:18 -1 18
D W D L D
7 11 5 2 4 22:21 1 17
D D L W W
8 10 4 3 3 15:14 1 15
D L D L W
9 11 4 3 4 12:13 -1 15
D L D L W
10 10 4 2 4 17:15 2 14
D L W D L
11 11 3 4 4 18:14 4 13
D L D W W
12 11 3 4 4 17:19 -2 13
D L D L W
13 11 3 4 4 13:15 -2 13
W W L D D
14 11 4 1 6 12:16 -4 13
W W W W L
15 11 3 3 5 15:20 -5 12
L W W L L
16 11 2 5 4 12:17 -5 11
L W D L D
17 11 2 3 6 15:23 -8 9
D L L L D
18 11 1 1 9 8:26 -18 4
D L W L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)