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21.10.2026 01:00
Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
Referee: Katia García, Mexico
FC Juarez
Match Timeline
Atlante FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
31'
Martín Sarrafiore
Atlante FC
🟨
37'
Rodrigo Dourado
FC Juarez
🔄
60'
Rodrigo Dourado ↔ J. Rodriguez
FC Juarez
🔄
60'
Guilherme Castilho ↔ Monchu
FC Juarez
🟨
64'
Jhojan Julio
Atlante FC
🔄
65'
W. Portales ↔ D. O. Bagui Tobar
Atlante FC
🔄
65'
L. Puente ↔ J. Moxica
Atlante FC
🔄
70'
Ricardinho ↔ L. Dupuy
FC Juarez
🔄
71'
Madson ↔ B. Molina
FC Juarez
🟨
73'
Edgar Jiménez
Atlante FC
⚽
76'
J. N. Carrera · Assist: Martin Sarrafiore
Atlante FC
🟨
78'
Daniel Piña
FC Juarez
🔄
80'
D. Pina ↔ A. Mayorga
FC Juarez
🔄
80'
E. Jimenez ↔ W. Clar
Atlante FC
🔄
80'
Jhojan Julio ↔ D. Gonzalez
Atlante FC
🟨
85'
Leonardo Rodríguez
FC Juarez
🟨
90+4'
José Luis Rodríguez
FC Juarez
🔄
90'
Martin Sarrafiore ↔ M. Garcia Pardo
Atlante FC

FC Juarez vs Atlante FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
72.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Juarez Win 27.3%
Draw 27.3%
Atlante FC Win 45.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Juarez1.41
Atlante FC1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Juarez FC Juarez
L D L W L
5 GF / 10 GA
Atlante FC Atlante FC
L L W D L
6 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.25
2.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
10
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
7
2.67
Shots on Goal
5.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Juarez FC Juarez 17 matches
Atlante FC Atlante FC 16 matches
FC Juarez Statistic Atlante FC
4 Wins 2
3 Draws 8
10 Losses 6
20 Goals For 20
37 Goals Against 28
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
2.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
10 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 5
2.67 Shots On Goal 5.08
9.33 Total Shots 15.08
3.92 Corners 5.08
44.7% Ball Possession 43.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atlante FC. Atlante FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 16 with 11 points while FC Juarez sit 18 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. FC Juarez have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Juarez Analysis

FC Juarez approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 4 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 9 defeats with a 8:26 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ó. Estupiñán (4 goals), J. Rodríguez (1 goals), Rodrigo Dourado (1 goals), with creative support from J. Rodríguez (1 assists), D. Piña (1 assists), J. Torres (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atlante FC Analysis

With 11 points from 11 games and a place of 16, Atlante FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 12:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Julio (2 goals), L. Calzadilla (2 goals), Walter Portales (1 goals), with creative support from J. Julio (4 assists), Walter Portales (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, FC Juarez won 4 times, Atlante FC won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:11 from FC Juarez's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (72.7%)
Predicted formations: FC Juarez 5-3-2 / Atlante FC 5-3-2
H2H summary: FC Juarez wins 4, draws 1, Atlante FC wins 4

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 5 2 36:21 15 29
D D L W W
2 15 8 5 2 25:14 11 29
W W W D D
3 15 9 2 4 34:24 10 29
W W W W D
4 15 8 3 4 26:26 0 27
W W L W D
5 15 6 6 3 31:21 10 24
D D D D L
6 15 5 7 3 25:21 4 22
D D W D D
7 15 6 4 5 22:20 2 22
L D W L D
8 15 7 1 7 21:20 1 22
W L W W W
9 14 6 3 5 26:21 5 21
D L W W D
10 15 5 5 5 22:24 -2 20
W D L W D
11 14 6 2 6 18:21 -3 20
L L L L W
12 15 5 4 6 25:19 6 19
W W L L D
13 15 5 4 6 19:23 -4 19
L W W D L
14 15 4 4 7 17:23 -6 16
L L L D D
15 15 3 6 6 15:22 -7 15
L D L D W
16 15 3 5 7 16:24 -8 14
L L W L L
17 15 2 4 9 16:28 -12 10
L D L L D
18 15 2 2 11 12:34 -22 8
W D L L D
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)