Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Palmeiras Win 0%
Draw 0%
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palmeiras1.48
Sao Paulo1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palmeiras
WWDLW
52 GF / 25 GA
Sao Paulo
WLDWL
27 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.23
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
19
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
9
4.94
Shots on Goal
3.77
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Palmeiras
31 matches
Sao Paulo
22 matches
| Palmeiras | Statistic | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 7 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 4 | Losses | 9 |
| 52 | Goals For | 27 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.94 | Shots On Goal | 3.77 |
| 15.1 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 5.9 | Corners | 6.09 |
| 53.3% | Ball Possession | 51.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras won 9 times, Sao Paulo won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:9 from Palmeiras's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Palmeiras 4-4-2 / Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Palmeiras wins 9, draws 4, Sao Paulo wins 2
Last matches: Palmeiras
19.08.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
0
W
15.08.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Fluminense
2
3
L
12.08.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Internacional
0
0
D
30.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vitoria
4
0
W
26.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
1
2
L
22.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Coritiba
3
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
1
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
4
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Flamengo
3
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Remo
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Santos
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Corinthians
0
0
D
Last matches: Sao Paulo
16.08.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
1
D
08.08.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
1
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
H2H: Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
22.03.26
H2H
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
W
01.03.26
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
24.01.26
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
3
1
W
05.10.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
2
3
W
11.05.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
11.03.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
16.02.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
18.08.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
29.04.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
0
D
03.03.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
1
1
D
04.02.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
25.10.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
5
0
W
13.07.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
05.07.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
1
0
L
11.06.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
2
W
Last matches: Palmeiras
12.08.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Internacional
0
0
D
26.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
1
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
4
1
W
21.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Santos
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Gremio
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Botafogo
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Mirassol
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Fluminense
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vitoria
5
1
W
H2H at home: Palmeiras
01.03.26
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
24.01.26
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
3
1
W
11.05.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
11.03.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
16.02.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
18.08.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
04.02.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
25.10.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
5
0
W
13.07.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
Last matches: Sao Paulo
08.08.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
1
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
H2H away: Sao Paulo
01.03.26
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
24.01.26
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
3
1
L
11.05.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
11.03.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
16.02.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
18.08.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
04.02.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
25.10.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
5
0
L
13.07.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
2
W
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
Home
|
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Sao Paulo
Away
|
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B