Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Palmeiras Win 0%
Draw 0%
Flamengo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palmeiras1.38
Flamengo1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palmeiras
WWDLW
43 GF / 19 GA
Flamengo
WLDWL
52 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.72
Average Goals Scored
2
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
16
BTTS Yes
13
12
Over 2.5
16
4.64
Shots on Goal
5.82
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Palmeiras
25 matches
Flamengo
26 matches
| Palmeiras | Statistic | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 17 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 43 | Goals For | 52 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.72 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.64 | Shots On Goal | 5.82 |
| 13.84 | Total Shots | 15.64 |
| 5.8 | Corners | 4.64 |
| 50.4% | Ball Possession | 55.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras won 4 times, Flamengo won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from Palmeiras's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Palmeiras 4-2-3-1 / Flamengo -
H2H summary: Palmeiras wins 4, draws 5, Flamengo wins 6
Last matches: Palmeiras
22.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Coritiba
3
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
1
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
4
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Flamengo
3
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Remo
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Santos
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Corinthians
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Bahia
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Gremio
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Botafogo
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Mirassol
1
0
W
Last matches: Flamengo
17.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Olimpia
4
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Benfica
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Lausanne
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
River Plate
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
3
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Palmeiras
0
3
L
21.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Gremio
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
2
2
D
30.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
4
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Bahia
2
0
W
17.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
4
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Fluminense
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Santos
3
1
W
03.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Corinthians
1
1
D
H2H: Palmeiras vs Flamengo
24.05.26
H2H
Flamengo
Palmeiras
0
3
W
29.11.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
0
1
L
19.10.25
H2H
Flamengo
Palmeiras
3
2
L
25.05.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.08.24
H2H
Flamengo
Palmeiras
1
1
D
07.08.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
1
0
W
31.07.24
H2H
Flamengo
Palmeiras
2
0
L
21.04.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
0
0
D
09.11.23
H2H
Flamengo
Palmeiras
3
0
L
09.07.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
1
1
D
28.01.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
4
3
W
21.08.22
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
1
1
D
20.04.22
H2H
Flamengo
Palmeiras
0
0
D
27.11.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
2
1
W
12.09.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
1
3
L
Last matches: Palmeiras
31.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
1
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
4
1
W
21.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Santos
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Gremio
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Botafogo
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Mirassol
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Fluminense
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vitoria
5
1
W
H2H at home: Palmeiras
29.11.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
0
1
L
25.05.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
0
2
L
07.08.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
1
0
W
21.04.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
0
0
D
09.07.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
1
1
D
28.01.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
4
3
W
21.08.22
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
1
1
D
27.11.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
2
1
W
12.09.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
1
3
L
Last matches: Flamengo
11.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Benfica
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Gremio
1
0
W
30.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
4
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Fluminense
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
2
0
W
03.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Corinthians
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Botafogo
3
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vitoria
2
1
W
29.01.26
Ser
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
H2H away: Flamengo
29.11.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
0
1
W
25.05.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
0
2
W
07.08.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
1
0
L
21.04.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
0
0
D
09.07.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
1
1
D
28.01.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
4
3
L
21.08.22
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
1
1
D
27.11.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
2
1
L
12.09.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Flamengo
1
3
W
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
Home
|
18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
| 2 |
Flamengo
Away
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B