BRAZIL SERIE A
23.07.2026 00:30
Estádio Beira Rio
Referee: F. Rodrigues
Internacional
Match Timeline
Cruzeiro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
Kaio Jorge · Assist: Fagner
Cruzeiro
🟨
16'
Gerson
Cruzeiro
🟨
18'
Fagner
Cruzeiro
🟨
33'
Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
🟨
35'
A. Bernabei
Internacional
🟨
45+3'
Jonathan Jesus
Cruzeiro
🔄
46'
L. F. de Morais Francisco ↔ Matheus Bahia
Internacional
🔄
46'
G. Mercado ↔ Victor Gabriel
Internacional
🟥
59'
Victor Gabriel
Internacional
🔄
62'
Gabriel Pec ↔ Bruno Rodrigues
Cruzeiro
64'
Matheus Pereira · Assist: Fagner
Cruzeiro
🟨
66'
Matheus Henrique
Cruzeiro
🔄
73'
Alerrandro ↔ Bruno Henrique
Internacional
🔄
77'
L. Sinisterra ↔ Lucas Silva
Cruzeiro
83'
J. Carbonero · Assist: Matheus Bahia
Internacional
🔄
86'
R. Villagra ↔ Paulinho Paula
Internacional
🔄
86'
Bruno Gomes ↔ B. Aguirre
Internacional
🔄
86'
Gerson ↔ Wanderson
Cruzeiro
🔄
87'
Fagner ↔ William Furtado
Cruzeiro
🔄
87'
Kaio Jorge ↔ N. Villarreal
Cruzeiro
🟨
89'
Lucas Silva
Cruzeiro

Internacional vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 46.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
46.4%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Internacional Win 46.4%
Draw 16.7%
Cruzeiro Win 36.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional1.23
Cruzeiro1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Internacional Internacional
WWDLW
21 GF / 22 GA
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
WLDWL
35 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
10
BTTS Yes
15
7
Over 2.5
14
4.94
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Internacional Internacional 18 matches
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 26 matches
Internacional Statistic Cruzeiro
5 Wins 10
6 Draws 8
7 Losses 8
21 Goals For 35
22 Goals Against 34
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
10 BTTS Yes 15
13 Over 1.5 21
7 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 4
4.94 Shots On Goal 4.5
15.17 Total Shots 13.63
7.17 Corners 4.75
50.8% Ball Possession 55.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cruzeiro. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Internacional expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cruzeiro in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cruzeiro having the stronger overall control.

Internacional Analysis

Internacional approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 21 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 21:22 goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on Alexandro Bernabei (4 goals), J. Carbonero (4 goals), Alan Patrick (3 goals), with creative support from J. Carbonero (3 assists), Alerrandro (3 assists), Vitinho (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cruzeiro Analysis

Cruzeiro sit 11 with 24 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 24:28 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by Christian (5 goals), Kaio Jorge (4 goals), Matheus Pereira (3 goals), with creative support from Christian (3 assists), L. Romero (3 assists), Matheus Pereira (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Internacional won 7 times, Cruzeiro won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:11 from Internacional's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
Predicted formations: Internacional 4-4-2 / Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Internacional 3, Cruzeiro 3
H2H summary: Internacional wins 7, draws 5, Cruzeiro wins 3

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5 28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 27 11 7 9 36:32 4 40
D W L W D
8 27 10 8 9 41:40 1 38
W W W W D
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 27 10 6 11 33:31 2 36
L D L L W
11 27 10 6 11 32:30 2 36
W L W W L
12 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
13 28 9 6 13 28:42 -14 33
L D W L L
14 28 8 8 12 29:32 -3 32
L L L L L
15 28 8 8 12 33:42 -9 32
W D W L D
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 28 7 8 13 30:38 -8 29
D L L L W
18 28 6 10 12 30:36 -6 28
L W L L D
19 28 5 8 15 32:47 -15 23
L L L L L
20 27 3 9 15 29:53 -24 18
D L W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B