ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Jocay
Referee: R. Cabrera
Manta FC
Match Timeline
LDU de Quito
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
12'
S. Gonzalez Baquero
LDU de Quito
🟨
17'
A. Dominguez
LDU de Quito
🟨
27'
J. Nazareno
Manta FC
🟨
38'
B. Ramirez
Manta FC
42'
M. Estrada
LDU de Quito
🟨
52'
O. Moscarelli
Manta FC
🟨
63'
J. Carabali
LDU de Quito
🔄
67'
B. Ramirez ↔ J. Jimenez
Manta FC
🔄
70'
J. Corozo ↔ R. Redes
LDU de Quito
🔄
74'
J. Troya ↔ J. Alman
Manta FC
74'
J. Angulo · Assist: J. Blanco
Manta FC
🟨
75'
J. Angulo
Manta FC
🔄
76'
M. Estrada ↔ Deyverson
LDU de Quito
🔄
76'
I. Zambrano ↔ L. Quinonez
LDU de Quito
🔄
80'
↔ R. Mina
LDU de Quito
VAR
90+1'
Deyverson
LDU de Quito

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71.2%
-
BTTS No
65.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Manta FC Win 28.8%
Draw 19%
LDU de Quito Win 52.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manta FC0.54
LDU de Quito1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manta FC Manta FC
WWDLW
7 GF / 25 GA
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WLDWL
32 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.35
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
4
BTTS Yes
9
4
Over 2.5
7
2.6
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manta FC Manta FC 20 matches
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 29 matches
Manta FC Statistic LDU de Quito
3 Wins 13
4 Draws 6
13 Losses 10
7 Goals For 32
25 Goals Against 24
0.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
4 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 17
4 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 11
14 Failed To Score 12
2.6 Shots On Goal 3.5
9.65 Total Shots 14.04
4.7 Corners 5.27
46.1% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around LDU de Quito's more proactive style and Manta FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. LDU de Quito carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 28 points while Manta FC sit 16 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Manta FC expected to line up in 4-5-1 and LDU de Quito in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward LDU de Quito having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors LDU de Quito. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Manta FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Manta FC Analysis

With 13 points from 19 games and a place of 16, Manta FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 7:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Blanco (2 goals), J. Jiménez (1 goals), Octavio Moscarelli (1 goals), with creative support from Braian Ramírez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

LDU de Quito Analysis

LDU de Quito are currently 6 in the standings with 28 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 19:15 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Deyverson (4 goals), Rodney Redes (2 goals), Janner Corozo (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (1 assists), Rodney Redes (1 assists), Jesús Pretell (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Manta FC won 2 times, LDU de Quito won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:14 from Manta FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.77 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81%)
Predicted formations: Manta FC 4-5-1 / LDU de Quito 5-3-2
H2H summary: Manta FC wins 2, draws 5, LDU de Quito wins 6
Stats
Manta FC Manta FC
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
3
10 Corner Kicks 7
14 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 3
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 6
6 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 8
2 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
440 Total passes 168
377 Passes accurate 101
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Manta FC
Formation
LDU de Quito
W. Chavez
W. Chavez
J. Troya
J. Troya
J. Nazareno
J. Nazareno
O. Moscarelli
O. Moscarelli
G. Mina
G. Mina
B. Ramirez
B. Ramirez
J. Nazareno
J. Nazareno
R. Burbano
R. Burbano
J. Blanco
🎯
J. Blanco
J. Verges
J. Verges
J. Angulo
J. Angulo
G. Valle
G. Valle
G. F. Allala Menendez
G. F. Allala Menendez
R. Ade
R. Ade
L. Segovia
L. Segovia
J. W. Cuero Mercado
J. W. Cuero Mercado
I. Zambrano
I. Zambrano
J. Pretell
J. Pretell
S. Gonzalez Baquero
S. Gonzalez Baquero
J. Carabali
J. Carabali
J. Corozo
J. Corozo
M. Estrada
M. Estrada
Manta FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
W. Chavez
G
27
J. Troya
↓ 74'
4
J. Nazareno
🟨 27'
D
24
O. Moscarelli
🟨 52'
D
31
G. Mina
D
5
B. Ramirez
↓ 67' 🟨 38'
M
70
J. Nazareno
M
10
R. Burbano
M
9
J. Blanco
🎯 74'
M
55
J. Verges
M
17
J. Angulo
⚽ 74' 🟨 75'
F
Substitutes
12
F. Zambrano
G
99
E. Pico
7
D. Cabezas
M
19
J. Alman
↑ 74'
F
6
J. Jimenez
↑ 67'
M
20
J. Chala
M
52
J. Rialpe
M
45
S. Burbano
M
29
M. Hurtado
M
LDU de Quito 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
G. Valle
G
30
G. F. Allala Menendez
D
4
R. Ade
D
44
L. Segovia
D
28
J. W. Cuero Mercado
M
26
I. Zambrano
↓ 76'
M
8
J. Pretell
M
5
S. Gonzalez Baquero
🟥 12'
M
67
J. Carabali
🟨 63'
M
13
J. Corozo
↓ 70'
F
11
M. Estrada
⚽ 42' ↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
12
A. Villa
G
22
A. Dominguez
🟨 17'
G
21
E. Castillo
M
27
R. Mina
16
Deyverson
↑ 76'
F
99
C. Luna Tobar
M
33
L. Quinonez
↑ 76'
D
7
R. Redes
↑ 70'
F
3
R. Mina
↑ 80'
D
23
Y. Quinonez
F
25
P. Ortiz
32
A. Gomez
Last matches: Manta FC
01.08.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
L
26.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
19.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
11.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
0
0
D
04.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
4
L
30.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
26.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Aucas
1
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
27.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
0
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
1
1
D
Last matches: LDU de Quito
04.08.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
2
1
W
27.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
18.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
12.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Libertad
0
0
D
05.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
1
L
01.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
3
0
W
18.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
26.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
3
2
W
24.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
21.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
2
0
W
15.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
12.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
07.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
0
2
L
02.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
28.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0
1
L
23.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
H2H: Manta FC vs LDU de Quito
23.07.26
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
22.03.26
H2H
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
0
L
17.08.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
1
D
26.04.25
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
05.06.22
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
26.09.21
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
14.04.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
0
L
03.08.14
H2H
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
0
2
W
25.01.14
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
19.05.13
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
03.03.13
H2H
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
2
0
L
07.07.12
H2H
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
2
0
L
05.02.12
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
Last matches: Manta FC
01.08.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
L
15.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
11.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
0
0
D
30.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
27.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
18.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
H2H at home: Manta FC
23.07.26
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
26.04.25
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
05.06.22
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
26.09.21
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
25.01.14
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
19.05.13
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
05.02.12
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
Last matches: LDU de Quito
27.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
15.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
05.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
1
L
24.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
12.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
07.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
0
2
L
28.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
0
1
L
08.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
1
0
W
18.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Libertad
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
2
1
W
H2H away: LDU de Quito
23.07.26
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
26.04.25
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
05.06.22
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
W
26.09.21
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
25.01.14
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
0
L
19.05.13
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
05.02.12
H2H
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
W

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 19 1 3 56:22 34 58
W W W W W
2 23 11 6 6 38:19 19 39
W D W W W
3 23 11 5 7 30:23 7 38
W W W L W
4 23 11 5 7 26:25 1 38
W L L W L
5 23 9 8 6 24:18 6 35
D L L W D
6 23 10 5 8 23:18 5 35
W W D L L
7 23 8 8 7 24:22 2 32
D W D W D
8 23 9 4 10 21:28 -7 31
L W L L D
9 23 8 6 9 24:26 -2 30
W W W L W
10 23 7 7 9 29:34 -5 28
W L D W L
11 23 7 7 9 20:25 -5 28
L D D W D
12 23 7 5 11 27:35 -8 26
L L W L L
13 23 8 2 13 20:29 -9 26
L W L L L
14 23 7 7 9 19:28 -9 25
L L D L W
15 23 6 5 12 14:23 -9 23
L L L W W
16 23 3 5 15 9:29 -20 14
L L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs