Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Palmeiras Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bahia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palmeiras1.51
Bahia1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palmeiras
WWDLW
51 GF / 25 GA
Bahia
WLDWL
38 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.41
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
19
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
13
5
Shots on Goal
4.32
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Palmeiras
30 matches
Bahia
27 matches
| Palmeiras | Statistic | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 10 |
| 9 | Draws | 10 |
| 4 | Losses | 7 |
| 51 | Goals For | 38 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 4.32 |
| 15.17 | Total Shots | 13.12 |
| 5.9 | Corners | 5.44 |
| 53.6% | Ball Possession | 53.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras won 7 times, Bahia won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:12 from Palmeiras's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Palmeiras 4-4-2 / Bahia 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Palmeiras wins 7, draws 5, Bahia wins 3
Last matches: Palmeiras
15.08.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Fluminense
2
3
L
12.08.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Internacional
0
0
D
30.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vitoria
4
0
W
26.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
1
2
L
22.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Coritiba
3
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
1
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
4
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Flamengo
3
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Remo
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Santos
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Corinthians
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
1
1
D
Last matches: Bahia
16.08.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
3
3
D
09.08.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
0
0
D
30.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
0
0
D
26.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
1
1
D
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
H2H: Palmeiras vs Bahia
05.04.26
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
W
28.09.25
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
0
L
27.04.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
0
1
L
20.11.24
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
W
07.07.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
2
0
W
28.10.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
1
0
W
22.06.23
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
0
L
13.10.21
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
0
0
D
27.06.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
3
2
W
12.12.20
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
3
0
W
30.08.20
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
1
D
17.11.19
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
1
D
11.08.19
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
2
2
D
16.09.18
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
1
D
16.08.18
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
1
0
W
Last matches: Palmeiras
12.08.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Internacional
0
0
D
26.07.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
1
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
4
1
W
21.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Santos
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Gremio
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Botafogo
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Mirassol
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Fluminense
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vitoria
5
1
W
H2H at home: Palmeiras
27.04.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
0
1
L
07.07.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
2
0
W
28.10.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
1
0
W
27.06.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
3
2
W
12.12.20
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
3
0
W
11.08.19
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
2
2
D
16.08.18
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
1
0
W
Last matches: Bahia
16.08.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
3
3
D
30.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
0
0
D
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
H2H away: Bahia
27.04.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
0
1
W
07.07.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
2
0
L
28.10.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
1
0
L
27.06.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
3
2
L
12.12.20
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
3
0
L
11.08.19
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
2
2
D
16.08.18
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
1
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
Home
|
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Away
|
23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B