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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
09.10.2026 10:00
Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
Referee: Koichiro Fukushima
Kashiwa Reysol
Match Timeline
Vissel Kobe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
18'
Seiya Baba ↔ Sachiro Toshima
Kashiwa Reysol
⚽
27'
Shota Fujio
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
45'
Katsuya Nagato ↔ Jean Patric Lima dos Reis
Vissel Kobe
⚽
53'
Hinata Yamauchi · Assist: Sachiro Toshima
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
58'
Tetsushi Yamakawa ↔ João Victor Andrade Caetano
Vissel Kobe
⚽
64'
Tojiro Kubo · Assist: Yoshio Koizumi
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
71'
Tomoya Wakahara ↔ Kengo Nagai
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
71'
Keita Endo ↔ Kenshin Yuba
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
71'
Hinata Yamauchi ↔ Yusuke Segawa
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
72'
Yoshinori Muto ↔ Yuan Iwamoto
Vissel Kobe
🔄
72'
Gotoku Sakai ↔ Ren Komatsu
Vissel Kobe
🔄
76'
Issei Takahashi ↔ Nanasei Iino
Vissel Kobe
⚽
81'
Ren Komatsu · Assist: Diego Jara Rodrigues
Vissel Kobe
🔄
84'
Shota Fujio ↔ Mao Hosoya
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
84'
Tojiro Kubo ↔ Wataru Harada
Kashiwa Reysol
⚽
84'
Yusuke Segawa
Kashiwa Reysol
⚽
88'
Diego Jara Rodrigues · Assist: Nanasei Iino
Vissel Kobe
🟨
90+1'
Michael Skibbe
Vissel Kobe
🟨
90+1'
Wataru Harada
Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 60.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
60.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kashiwa Reysol Win 41.9%
Draw 19%
Vissel Kobe Win 39.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kashiwa Reysol1.53
Vissel Kobe1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
WWDLW
17 GF / 12 GA
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
WLDWL
12 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
5
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
3
5.38
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 8 matches
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 8 matches
Kashiwa Reysol Statistic Vissel Kobe
6 Wins 6
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 1
17 Goals For 12
12 Goals Against 5
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
5 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 1
5.38 Shots On Goal 4
15.38 Total Shots 11.5
5.75 Corners 3.88
59.9% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kashiwa Reysol expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Vissel Kobe in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vissel Kobe having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Vissel Kobe. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Vissel Kobe look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Kashiwa Reysol Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 18 points from 8 games, Kashiwa Reysol bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a 17:12 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Y. Segawa (4 goals), Y. Koizumi (2 goals), T. Kubo (1 goals), with creative support from Masa (4 assists), Y. Koizumi (2 assists), Y. Segawa (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Vissel Kobe Analysis

Vissel Kobe approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 19 points after 8 outings. They have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 12:5 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Y. Osako (3 goals), K. Nagato (2 goals), Y. Goke (2 goals), with creative support from K. Nagato (1 assists), Matheus Thuler (1 assists), Diego (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kashiwa Reysol won 6 times, Vissel Kobe won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:19 from Kashiwa Reysol's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81%)
Predicted formations: Kashiwa Reysol 3-4-2-1 / Vissel Kobe 4-3-3
H2H summary: Kashiwa Reysol wins 6, draws 4, Vissel Kobe wins 5

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 0 2 21:14 7 21
W W W L L
2 9 6 2 1 22:6 16 20
W W W L W
3 9 6 2 1 22:10 12 20
W L D W W
4 9 6 2 1 17:8 9 20
W W W W D
5 9 6 1 2 14:9 5 19
L W W W W
6 9 5 1 3 19:16 3 16
W D L L L
7 9 4 3 2 13:9 4 15
D W D W D
8 9 3 4 2 17:14 3 13
L D W W L
9 9 4 1 4 12:12 0 13
L L W W W
10 9 4 1 4 8:9 -1 13
W W W L D
11 9 4 0 5 16:21 -5 12
L W L W W
12 9 3 3 3 7:12 -5 12
D D L D W
13 9 2 3 4 12:13 -1 9
L L L D W
14 9 2 3 4 11:16 -5 9
D D W L D
15 9 3 0 6 9:15 -6 9
W L L L L
16 9 2 2 5 11:16 -5 8
L W L L D
17 9 2 1 6 11:13 -2 7
W L L D L
18 9 1 3 5 8:16 -8 6
L L L L D
19 9 1 2 6 8:19 -11 5
D L D W L
20 9 0 4 5 4:14 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League