Login Register
25.10.2026 20:00
Starlight Stadium

Pacific FC vs Forge Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Pacific FC Win 25.7%
Draw 19.1%
Forge Win 55.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pacific FC1.06
Forge1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pacific FC Pacific FC
WWDLW
32 GF / 61 GA
Forge Forge
WLDWL
49 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.69
2.26
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
18
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
14
3.37
Shots on Goal
3.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pacific FC Pacific FC 27 matches
Forge Forge 29 matches
Pacific FC Statistic Forge
2 Wins 17
8 Draws 7
17 Losses 5
32 Goals For 49
61 Goals Against 25
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
2.26 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
18 BTTS Yes 14
23 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 8
1 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 5
3.37 Shots On Goal 3.72
10.7 Total Shots 11.31
3.56 Corners 4.31
43.6% Ball Possession 34.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Forge's more proactive style and Pacific FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Forge. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Pacific FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Forge carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 57 points while Pacific FC sit 8 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Pacific FC Analysis

Pacific FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 14 points from 27 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 32:61, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through M. Bustos (4 goals), R. Kratt (2 goals), Y. Toualy (2 goals), with creative support from M. Bustos (3 assists), R. Kratt (1 assists), Y. Toualy (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Forge Analysis

Forge come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 57 points after 27 matches. They have recorded 17 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a 48:21 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on N. Jensen (3 goals), M. Bourgeois (2 goals), L. Cavallini (2 goals), with creative support from I. Oketokoun (3 assists), N. Jensen (2 assists), M. Bourgeois (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Pacific FC won 3 times, Forge won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:22 from Pacific FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
Predicted formations: Pacific FC 4-2-3-1 / Forge 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Pacific FC wins 3, draws 1, Forge wins 11

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 17 6 4 57:23 34 57
W D L L W
2
Forge Away
27 17 6 4 48:21 27 57
W W W D D
3 27 13 4 10 41:43 -2 43
L W W W L
4 27 10 7 10 39:36 3 37
W D D D D
5 27 10 5 12 43:47 -4 35
W D W W L
6 27 7 7 13 41:46 -5 28
L D D L W
7 27 6 9 12 40:64 -24 27
L L L W L
8 27 2 8 17 32:61 -29 14
L L L L W