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ITALY › SERIE A
18.10.2026 13:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina vs Como Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fiorentina Win 34%
Draw 13.8%
Como Win 52.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fiorentina1.64
Como1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fiorentina Fiorentina
WWDLW
29 GF / 22 GA
Como Como
WLDWL
16 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.07
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
5
5.63
Shots on Goal
6.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fiorentina Fiorentina 14 matches
Como Como 10 matches
Fiorentina Statistic Como
6 Wins 4
3 Draws 5
5 Losses 1
29 Goals For 16
22 Goals Against 10
2.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 8
10 Over 2.5 5
6 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
5.63 Shots On Goal 6.57
15.5 Total Shots 21.43
4.13 Corners 6.71
46.5% Ball Possession 60.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Como's more proactive style and Fiorentina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Como. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Fiorentina have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Como carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 10 points while Fiorentina sit 18 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Fiorentina Analysis

With 4 points from 6 games and a place of 18, Fiorentina still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 7:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Franco Mastantuono (3 goals), Mateo Pellegrino (2 goals), Álex Jiménez (1 goals), with creative support from Álex Jiménez (1 assists), Rolando Mandragora (1 assists), R. Drăgușin (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Como Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Como have collected 10 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 9:6 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Assane Diao (2 goals), Martin Baturina (2 goals), Anastasios Douvikas (2 goals), with creative support from Assane Diao (1 assists), Martin Baturina (1 assists), Nico Paz (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Fiorentina won 2 times, Como won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Fiorentina's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
Predicted formations: Fiorentina 4-2-3-1 / Como 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Fiorentina 1, Como 0
H2H summary: Fiorentina wins 2, draws 0, Como wins 3

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 18:8 10 16
W D W W W
2 6 5 1 0 11:4 7 16
W W D W W
3 6 4 2 0 14:3 11 14
D D W W W
4 6 4 1 1 6:3 3 13
D W W W L
5 6 3 3 0 11:5 6 12
D W D D W
6 6 3 2 1 9:5 4 11
D W L D W
7
Como Away
6 3 2 1 9:6 3 11
D L W W W
8 6 3 1 2 10:6 4 10
W D W L L
9 6 3 1 2 9:7 2 10
L W D W W
10 6 2 2 2 10:10 0 8
D L W D W
11 5 2 0 3 5:7 -2 6
L L L W W
12 6 2 0 4 6:12 -6 6
L L W L L
13 6 1 2 3 5:7 -2 5
W D L D L
14 5 1 1 3 8:11 -3 4
L L L W D
15 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
D L W L L
16 6 1 1 4 9:15 -6 4
L W L D L
17 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
W L D L L
18 6 1 1 4 4:10 -6 4
L W L D L
19 6 1 1 4 7:14 -7 4
L D W L L
20 5 0 0 5 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
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