COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
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Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55%
Odds 2.11
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55%
2.11
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.21
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.73
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Orsomarso Win 55%
Draw 15.6%
Tigres FC Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orsomarso0.89
Tigres FC0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orsomarso Orsomarso
WWDLW
14 GF / 17 GA
Tigres FC Tigres FC
WLDWL
19 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orsomarso Orsomarso 17 matches
Tigres FC Tigres FC 23 matches
Orsomarso Statistic Tigres FC
5 Wins 6
6 Draws 7
6 Losses 10
14 Goals For 19
17 Goals Against 23
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Tigres FC's more proactive style and Orsomarso's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tigres FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tigres FC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Orsomarso Analysis

So far, Orsomarso have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 17 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 13:17 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tigres FC Analysis

Tigres FC are currently 8 in the standings with 20 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 15:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Orsomarso won 8 times, Tigres FC won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:12 from Orsomarso's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
H2H summary: Orsomarso wins 8, draws 2, Tigres FC wins 4
Last matches: Orsomarso
31.07.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
26.07.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Barranquilla
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Leones FC
0
0
D
13.04.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Bogota FC
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
27.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Quindio
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Ind. Yumbo
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Santander
2
0
W
11.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Depor FC
1
1
D
06.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Cartagena
0
4
L
01.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Envigado
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Soacha
0
1
L
18.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Popayan
2
2
D
09.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Patriotas
0
0
D
04.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Union Magdalena
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Barranquilla
2
1
W
25.10.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Cucuta
0
1
L
19.10.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Quindio
2
3
L
13.10.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Internacional Palmira
0
0
D
Last matches: Tigres FC
01.08.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Popayan
0
0
D
24.07.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Leones FC
0
1
L
19.05.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
14.05.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Envigado
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Quindio
0
1
L
05.05.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Quindio
0
1
L
29.04.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Envigado
0
2
L
24.04.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Internacional Palmira
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Quindio
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Real Soacha
2
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Barranquilla
3
1
W
26.03.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Real Santander
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Depor FC
2
1
W
11.03.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Bogota FC
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Patriotas
1
1
D
03.03.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
24.02.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Union Magdalena
1
3
L
16.02.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Ind. Yumbo
1
3
L
09.02.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Envigado
0
0
D
H2H: Orsomarso vs Tigres FC
04.02.26
H2H
Tigres FC
Orsomarso
0
1
W
02.08.25
H2H
Tigres FC
Orsomarso
2
0
L
22.02.25
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
1
1
D
12.08.24
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
1
0
W
01.06.24
H2H
Tigres FC
Orsomarso
0
1
W
28.05.24
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
4
1
W
20.02.24
H2H
Tigres FC
Orsomarso
0
1
W
21.08.23
H2H
Tigres FC
Orsomarso
1
3
W
05.03.23
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
2
0
W
12.09.22
H2H
Tigres FC
Orsomarso
1
0
L
26.02.22
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
0
2
L
07.08.21
H2H
Tigres FC
Orsomarso
1
2
W
15.02.21
H2H
Tigres FC
Orsomarso
2
0
L
22.08.20
H2H
Tigres FC
Orsomarso
0
0
D
08.03.20
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Orsomarso
26.07.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Barranquilla
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Leones FC
0
0
D
31.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Ind. Yumbo
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Santander
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Envigado
0
1
L
09.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Patriotas
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Union Magdalena
0
1
L
19.10.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Quindio
2
3
L
13.10.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Internacional Palmira
0
0
D
28.09.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Popayan
0
3
L
14.09.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Santander
1
0
W
24.08.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Huila
0
1
L
13.08.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Patriotas
2
2
D
26.07.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Jaguares
1
0
W
15.07.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Bogota FC
1
1
D
18.05.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Cucuta
2
2
D
28.04.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Soacha
0
1
L
11.04.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
29.03.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Internacional Palmira
0
2
L
H2H at home: Orsomarso
22.02.25
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
1
1
D
12.08.24
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
1
0
W
28.05.24
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
4
1
W
05.03.23
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
2
0
W
26.02.22
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
0
2
L
08.03.20
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Tigres FC
01.08.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Popayan
0
0
D
19.05.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
05.05.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Quindio
0
1
L
29.04.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Envigado
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Real Soacha
2
0
W
26.03.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Real Santander
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Bogota FC
1
0
W
24.02.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Union Magdalena
1
3
L
09.02.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Envigado
0
0
D
26.01.26
Pri
Tigres FC
Leones FC
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pri
Tigres FC
Barranquilla
2
2
D
17.10.25
Pri
Tigres FC
Quindio
1
2
L
22.09.25
Pri
Tigres FC
Popayan
1
0
W
06.09.25
Pri
Tigres FC
Bogota FC
0
1
L
22.08.25
Pri
Tigres FC
Real Cartagena
0
4
L
11.08.25
Pri
Tigres FC
Leones FC
1
1
D
25.07.25
Pri
Tigres FC
Huila
0
1
L
18.07.25
Pri
Tigres FC
Depor FC
1
1
D
14.06.25
Pri
Tigres FC
Jaguares
1
0
W
H2H away: Tigres FC
22.02.25
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
1
1
D
12.08.24
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
1
0
L
28.05.24
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
4
1
L
05.03.23
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
2
0
L
26.02.22
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
0
2
W
08.03.20
H2H
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.78
Draw 2.94
Home 2.11
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.36
Over 1.5 1.55
Over 1.75 1.73
Over 2.0 2.06
Over 2.25 2.41
Over 2.5 2.73
Over 2.75 3.34
Under 1.25 2.98
Under 1.5 2.36
Under 1.75 2.07
Under 2.0 1.76
Under 2.25 1.55
Under 2.5 1.42
Under 2.75 1.30
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 3.00
Home 2.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 1.91
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.44
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.89
Draw 2.86
Home 2.03
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.08
Draw 1.80
Home 2.84
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.46
Draw 2.11
Home 2.46
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 0.75 1.10
Over 1.0 1.13
Over 1.25 1.32
Over 1.5 1.51
Over 1.75 1.67
Over 2.0 1.95
Over 2.25 2.28
Over 2.5 2.65
Over 2.75 3.14
Over 3.0 4.40
Over 3.25 4.80
Over 3.5 5.20
Over 3.75 7.21
Over 4.0 9.00
Over 4.5 11.50
Over 5.5 17.00
Under 0.5 5.75
Under 0.75 5.15
Under 1.0 4.50
Under 1.25 2.88
Under 1.5 2.26
Under 1.75 1.98
Under 2.0 1.69
Under 2.25 1.50
Under 2.5 1.42
Under 2.75 1.27
Under 3.0 1.14
Under 3.25 1.12
Under 3.5 1.10
Under 3.75 1.05
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01