COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
10.09.2026 22:00
Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
Orsomarso
Match Timeline
Tigres FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
L. Palacios
Tigres FC
47'
K. Mosquera
Tigres FC
🟥
50'
M. Lasso
Orsomarso
🟥
52'
K. Mosquera
Tigres FC
🟨
52'
J. Lopera
Tigres FC
🟨
56'
R. A. Benitez Hernandez
Orsomarso
🟨
56'
Y. Salas
Tigres FC
🟨
58'
D. Barrios
Orsomarso
🔄
60'
A. Villareal ↔ J. Munoz
Orsomarso
🔄
60'
R. A. Benitez Hernandez ↔ M. Ruiz
Orsomarso
🔄
68'
S. Arrechea ↔ S. Martinez
Orsomarso
🔄
68'
L. Palacios ↔ J. Martinez
Tigres FC
🔄
74'
B. Caicedo ↔ M. Preciado
Orsomarso
🔄
74'
B. Campaz ↔ J. Hernandez
Orsomarso
🔄
84'
D. Rativa ↔ J. Villamil
Tigres FC
🔄
84'
C. Ibarra ↔ M. Frigerio
Tigres FC
🔄
84'
Y. Salas ↔ M. Canon
Tigres FC
🔄
90'
A. Cuadros ↔ S. Cardenas Pico
Tigres FC

Orsomarso vs Tigres FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55%
Odds 1.83
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55%
1.83
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.19
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.44
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.47
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Orsomarso Win 55%
Draw 15.6%
Tigres FC Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orsomarso0.88
Tigres FC0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orsomarso Orsomarso
WWDLW
17 GF / 19 GA
Tigres FC Tigres FC
WLDWL
25 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
0.93
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
6
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orsomarso Orsomarso 20 matches
Tigres FC Tigres FC 27 matches
Orsomarso Statistic Tigres FC
6 Wins 9
7 Draws 7
7 Losses 11
17 Goals For 25
19 Goals Against 25
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
6 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 14
5 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Tigres FC's more proactive style and Orsomarso's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tigres FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tigres FC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Orsomarso Analysis

So far, Orsomarso have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 17 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 13:17 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tigres FC Analysis

Tigres FC are currently 8 in the standings with 20 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 15:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Orsomarso won 8 times, Tigres FC won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Orsomarso's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
H2H summary: Orsomarso wins 8, draws 1, Tigres FC wins 4

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 15 8 8 50:35 15 53
L W L W W
2 29 15 8 6 38:27 11 53
W L L L W
3 29 14 9 6 30:18 12 51
L D D W W
4 30 14 8 8 40:28 12 50
D D L L L
5 29 14 6 9 40:28 12 48
W L L W L
6 29 10 8 11 27:25 2 38
D W L W W
7 23 9 9 5 23:16 7 36
W D W W L
8 24 9 7 8 29:29 0 34
L W W W L
9 29 9 7 13 35:39 -4 34
L L W W L
10 29 8 10 11 23:30 -7 34
D L L W L
11 23 6 9 8 27:27 0 27
W W W L D
12 22 6 7 9 17:23 -6 25
L L L W D
13 23 5 8 10 24:32 -8 23
W W W W L
14 22 4 9 9 23:29 -6 21
W D L L L
15 23 4 7 12 14:37 -23 19
D L L L D
16 23 3 8 12 20:37 -17 17
L D W W D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)