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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
10.10.2026 23:30
Exploria Stadium
Referee: Rosendo Mendoza, USA
Orlando City SC
Match Timeline
Columbus Crew
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
H. Sarajian · Assist: A. Griezmann
Orlando City SC
🟨
3'
Vinicius Nogueira
Orlando City SC
⚽
7'
T. Habroune · Assist: S. Rodriguez
Columbus Crew
⚽
16'
A. Griezmann
Orlando City SC
🟨
21'
Taha Habroune
Columbus Crew
🟨
23'
Robin Jansson
Orlando City SC
🟨
36'
Brais Méndez
Columbus Crew
🟨
41'
David Brekalo
Orlando City SC
🔄
46'
H. Sarajian ↔ B. Rhein
Orlando City SC
🔄
52'
Vinicius Nogueira ↔ Z. Taifi
Orlando City SC
⚽
53'
B. Mendez · Assist: T. Habroune
Columbus Crew
🔄
62'
E. Atuesta ↔ Luis Otavio
Orlando City SC
🔄
62'
M. Pasalic ↔ D. Dike
Orlando City SC
🔄
70'
D. Chambost ↔ A. Gomes
Columbus Crew
🔄
70'
J. Martinez ↔ G. Tapia
Columbus Crew
🔄
83'
D. Brekalo ↔ J. Ellis
Orlando City SC
🔄
83'
A. Zaroury ↔ B. Lennon
Columbus Crew
🔄
83'
T. Habroune ↔ S. Bangoura
Columbus Crew
⚽
89'
I. Angulo · Assist: M. Ojeda
Orlando City SC
🔄
90'
M. Farsi ↔ A. Herrera
Columbus Crew

Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Orlando City SC Win 63.1%
Draw 8.9%
Columbus Crew Win 28%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orlando City SC1.67
Columbus Crew1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
L L W W W
11 GF / 10 GA
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
W W L L W
8 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.47
2.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
22
BTTS Yes
21
24
Over 2.5
20
4.89
Shots on Goal
3.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 matches
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 30 matches
Orlando City SC Statistic Columbus Crew
11 Wins 9
5 Draws 6
15 Losses 15
55 Goals For 44
74 Goals Against 46
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
2.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
22 BTTS Yes 21
28 Over 1.5 26
24 Over 2.5 20
18 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 5
4.89 Shots On Goal 3.93
12.15 Total Shots 11.89
4.15 Corners 5.07
49.1% Ball Possession 56.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Orlando City SC expected to line up in 4-2-2-2 and Columbus Crew in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Columbus Crew having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Columbus Crew. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Orlando City SC Analysis

Orlando City SC are currently 7 in the standings with 34 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 48:64 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Ojeda (11 goals), A. Griezmann (6 goals), I. Angulo (5 goals), with creative support from Justin Ellis (7 assists), A. Griezmann (3 assists), E. Atuesta (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Columbus Crew Analysis

Columbus Crew are currently 12 in the standings with 29 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 39:43 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Diego Rossi (4 goals), D. Gazdag (4 goals), Maximilian Arfsten (3 goals), with creative support from M. Farsi (3 assists), Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), Hugo Picard (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Orlando City SC won 8 times, Columbus Crew won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:23 from Orlando City SC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Orlando City SC 4-2-2-2 / Columbus Crew 3-4-3
Missing players: Orlando City SC 2, Columbus Crew 1
H2H summary: Orlando City SC wins 8, draws 3, Columbus Crew wins 4

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 7 3 64:23 41 67
D W W W W
2 30 15 10 5 73:51 22 55
W W W L D
3 30 16 4 10 49:41 8 52
W W L L W
4 30 14 6 10 52:44 8 48
L L W W W
5 30 13 8 9 53:45 8 47
D L W L W
6 30 13 7 10 61:48 13 46
D W W W W
7 30 12 5 13 58:70 -12 41
W D W L L
8 30 10 9 11 62:71 -9 39
W L L W L
9 30 10 6 14 39:56 -17 36
L L W L W
10 30 8 12 10 46:55 -9 36
W D W L L
11 30 10 5 15 46:47 -1 35
W W L W W
12 30 8 10 12 43:41 2 34
D L L D L
13 30 7 12 11 38:53 -15 33
L L W L D
14 30 8 6 16 37:51 -14 30
L W L D W
15 30 6 7 17 36:60 -24 25
D L L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)