Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
92.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Orlando City SC
23 matches
Chicago Fire
24 matches
| Orlando City SC | Statistic | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 12 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 12 | Losses | 7 |
| 38 | Goals For | 43 |
| 58 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.79 |
| 2.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.79 | Shots On Goal | 5.06 |
| 12.05 | Total Shots | 14.11 |
| 4.11 | Corners | 4.33 |
| 46.7% | Ball Possession | 51.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Chicago Fire's more proactive style and Orlando City SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Chicago Fire carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 29 points while Orlando City SC sit 10 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Chicago Fire.
So far, Orlando City SC have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 20 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, while the 30:47 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Martín Ojeda (9 goals), T. Spicer (2 goals), G. Dorsey (2 goals), with creative support from Justin Ellis (3 assists), Adrián Marín (3 assists), Eduard Atuesta (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Chicago Fire approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 29 points after 17 outings. With 9 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:23, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Hugo Cuypers (8 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (5 goals), Maren Haile-Selassie (3 goals), with creative support from Philip Zinckernagel (6 assists), Maren Haile-Selassie (3 assists), Jonathan Bamba (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Orlando City SC won 6 times, Chicago Fire won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:23 from Orlando City SC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50:21 | 29 | 54 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | 15 | 45 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 40 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Chicago Fire
Away
|
24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 39 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
| 6 |
Orlando City SC
Home
|
25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 44:56 | -12 | 34 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 7 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 32 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 52:59 | -7 | 32 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 33:48 | -15 | 30 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 29 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:46 | -8 | 29 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 35:42 | -7 | 23 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29:43 | -14 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31:51 | -20 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
D
|