Ogre United vs FK Liepaja Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
72.4%
|
1.70 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
1.57 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
4.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.50 |
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ogre United
30 matches
FK Liepaja
41 matches
| Ogre United | Statistic | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 18 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 22 | Losses | 17 |
| 28 | Goals For | 60 |
| 76 | Goals Against | 62 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.46 |
| 2.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.51 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 33 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0.67 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 2.67 |
| 0 | Corners | 1 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 9.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FK Liepaja. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FK Liepaja carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 40 points while Ogre United sit 10 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Ogre United have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Liepaja having the stronger overall control.
Ogre United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 14 points from 27 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 26:71, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
FK Liepaja approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 40 points after 28 outings. They have recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, with a 39:41 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which underlines a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Ogre United won 0 times, FK Liepaja won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:9 from Ogre United's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 68:20 | 48 | 70 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 82:28 | 54 | 66 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 45:27 | 18 | 56 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
Away
|
29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 39:41 | -2 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:38 | -9 | 35 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 32:48 | -16 | 31 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 20:51 | -31 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 |
Ogre United
Home
|
28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 27:73 | -46 | 14 |
L
L
L
L
D
|