BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
Referee: C. Deretti
Novorizontino
Match Timeline
Juventude
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
33'
Lucas Mineiro
Juventude
🟨
35'
Titi
Juventude
🔄
46'
C. Ortiz ↔ Tavinho
Novorizontino
🔄
46'
Patryck ↔ Diogo Barbosa
Juventude
🔄
46'
Fabio Lima ↔ L. Amarilla
Juventude
🔄
46'
Lucas Mineiro ↔ Luan Martins
Juventude
54'
Rai Silva
Juventude
🟨
59'
Aderlan
Juventude
🟨
61'
Gabriel Barbosa Pinheiro
Juventude
🔄
61'
Matheus Bianqui ↔ Juninho
Novorizontino
🔄
61'
Maykon Jesus ↔ Carlao
Novorizontino
🔄
68'
Rai Silva ↔ Gabriel Pires
Juventude
🔄
71'
Marcos Paulo ↔ Wadson
Juventude
🔄
80'
Eduardo Brock ↔ Sander
Novorizontino
🔄
82'
Reidiney ↔ J. Lora
Novorizontino
🟨
83'
Luan Martins Gonçalves
Juventude
🟨
90+5'
Patrick
Novorizontino

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.1%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Novorizontino Win 59.1%
Draw 5.3%
Juventude Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Novorizontino1.2
Juventude1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Novorizontino Novorizontino
WWDLW
32 GF / 19 GA
Juventude Juventude
WLDWL
22 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.1
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
10
BTTS Yes
4
11
Over 2.5
5
4.75
Shots on Goal
4.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Novorizontino Novorizontino 20 matches
Juventude Juventude 20 matches
Novorizontino Statistic Juventude
9 Wins 10
6 Draws 5
5 Losses 5
32 Goals For 22
19 Goals Against 12
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
10 BTTS Yes 4
14 Over 1.5 10
11 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 14
5 Failed To Score 6
4.75 Shots On Goal 4.45
13.95 Total Shots 12.3
5.4 Corners 4.35
48% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Novorizontino expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Juventude in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventude having the stronger overall control. Novorizontino have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Juventude. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Novorizontino Analysis

Novorizontino sit 6 with 33 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 32:19, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Robson (6 goals), Rômulo (3 goals), Tavinho (2 goals), with creative support from Rômulo (6 assists), Robson (3 assists), Juninho (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Juventude Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 35 points from 20 games, Juventude bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:12, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Raí (4 goals), Alisson Safira (2 goals), Alan Kardec (1 goals), with creative support from Luan Martins Gonçalves (2 assists), Raí (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Novorizontino won 2 times, Juventude won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Novorizontino's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Novorizontino 4-2-3-1 / Juventude 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Novorizontino wins 2, draws 1, Juventude wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
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