FK Liepaja vs Riga Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
92.2%
|
1.12 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.50 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.27 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
12.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
21.00 |
FK Liepaja
Riga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FK Liepaja
39 matches
Riga
41 matches
| FK Liepaja | Statistic | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 29 |
| 5 | Draws | 8 |
| 17 | Losses | 4 |
| 57 | Goals For | 108 |
| 60 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.63 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 37 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 32 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 22 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 0.86 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 3.43 | Total Shots | 5.6 |
| 1.29 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 11.7% | Ball Possession | 27.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Riga's more proactive style and FK Liepaja's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FK Liepaja expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Riga in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Riga having the stronger overall control. Riga look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Riga carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 65 points while FK Liepaja sit 5 on 37, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Riga. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
FK Liepaja come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 37 points after 26 matches. They have recorded 11 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a 36:38 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.
Riga come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 65 points after 26 matches. They have recorded 20 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, with a 79:24 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Liepaja won 1 times, Riga won 13 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:40 from FK Liepaja's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 68:20 | 48 | 70 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Riga
Away
|
29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 84:30 | 54 | 67 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
| 3 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 47:29 | 18 | 57 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
Home
|
30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 41:43 | -2 | 42 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:38 | -9 | 35 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:48 | -16 | 32 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 20:51 | -31 | 25 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 29:75 | -46 | 15 |
D
L
L
L
L
|