MEXICO LIGA MX
13.09.2026 03:15
Estadio Banorte
Referee: Luis Santander, Mexico
Cruz Azul
Match Timeline
Club America
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
E. Lira · Assist: J. Paradela
Cruz Azul
🔄
29'
D. Espinoza ↔ C. Borja
Club America
35'
J. Paradela · Assist: C. Rodriguez
Cruz Azul
VAR
40'
Agustín Palavecino
Cruz Azul
43'
Nicolás Ibáñez
Cruz Azul
🟨
45+6'
Nicolás Ibáñez
Cruz Azul
🟨
45+6'
Jesús Orozco
Cruz Azul
🟨
45+6'
Alan Cervantes
Club America
🟨
45+6'
Raphael Veiga
Club America
45'
J. Orozco · Assist: J. Paradela
Cruz Azul
🔄
46'
E. Sanchez ↔ Icaro
Club America
🔄
46'
I. Violante ↔ A. Zendejas
Club America
52'
B. Rodriguez
Club America
🔄
57'
N. Ibanez ↔ G. Fernandez
Cruz Azul
🔄
57'
O. Campos ↔ C. Rotondi
Cruz Azul
🟨
60'
Erik Lira
Cruz Azul
🟨
63'
Jeremy Márquez
Cruz Azul
🔄
69'
J. Marquez ↔ A. Mozo
Cruz Azul
🔄
70'
Raphael Veiga ↔ O. Perea
Club America
72'
G. Fernandez · Assist: E. Lira
Cruz Azul
🔄
78'
A. Garcia ↔ G. Piovi
Cruz Azul
🔄
78'
A. Palavecino ↔ C. Ebere
Cruz Azul
🔄
78'
H. Martin ↔ Miguel Borja
Club America
🟨
90+3'
José Paradela
Cruz Azul
90'
O. Perea · Assist: K. Alvarez
Club America
90'
Miguel Borja
Club America

Cruz Azul vs Club America Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.2%
Odds 2.63
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.2%
2.63
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.81
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Cruz Azul Win 26.4%
Draw 8.4%
Club America Win 65.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cruz Azul1.39
Club America1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
WWDLW
32 GF / 23 GA
Club America Club America
WLDWL
19 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
0.47
10
BTTS Yes
5
12
Over 2.5
4
7.15
Shots on Goal
5.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 16 matches
Club America Club America 15 matches
Cruz Azul Statistic Club America
8 Wins 8
3 Draws 5
5 Losses 2
32 Goals For 19
23 Goals Against 7
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 0.47
10 BTTS Yes 5
15 Over 1.5 9
12 Over 2.5 4
6 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 4
7.15 Shots On Goal 5.75
20.46 Total Shots 16.08
7.08 Corners 6.42
60.5% Ball Possession 57.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Club America's more proactive style and Cruz Azul's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cruz Azul expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Club America in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club America having the stronger overall control. Club America look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Club America carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 16 points while Cruz Azul sit 10 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Club America. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Cruz Azul Analysis

Cruz Azul approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 9 points from 6 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 11:11, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jeremy Márquez (2 goals), Luka Romero (1 goals), Gabriel Fernández (1 goals), with creative support from Luka Romero (2 assists), Carlos Rodríguez (2 assists), Gabriel Fernández (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Club America Analysis

Club America come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 16 points after 6 matches. With 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 12:2, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Brian Rodríguez (2 goals), Raphael Veiga (1 goals), Henry Martín (1 goals), with creative support from Raphael Veiga (2 assists), Dagoberto Espinoza (2 assists), Henry Martín (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruz Azul won 5 times, Club America won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:18 from Cruz Azul's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Cruz Azul 5-3-2 / Club America 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cruz Azul wins 5, draws 5, Club America wins 5

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 1 2 20:9 11 19
L W W W W
2 9 5 3 1 17:8 9 18
D W W D W
3 8 5 2 1 17:8 9 17
D L W W W
4 9 5 0 4 16:15 1 15
L W W W L
5 8 4 2 2 11:8 3 14
D W W L D
6 8 4 2 2 12:10 2 14
D L W L W
7 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
D W L D W
8 9 4 2 3 11:11 0 14
D L W L W
9 9 4 2 3 13:15 -2 14
D L D L W
10 8 4 1 3 14:10 4 13
W D L L W
11 9 3 3 3 15:10 5 12
D W W D D
12 9 3 3 3 12:13 -1 12
D L W L D
13 9 2 3 4 11:16 -5 9
W L L W D
14 9 1 5 3 8:13 -5 8
D L D D L
15 9 2 2 5 10:16 -6 8
L L D L D
16 9 1 4 4 9:13 -4 7
L D D D W
17 9 2 1 6 9:15 -6 7
W W L D L
18 9 1 0 8 6:23 -17 3
W L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)