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13.09.2026 02:30
PayPal Park
Referee: R. Mendoza
San Jose Earthquakes
Match Timeline
Houston Dynamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
Ronaldo Vieira
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
19'
Jamar Ricketts
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
19'
Beau Leroux
San Jose Earthquakes
⚽
38'
D. Munie · Assist: B. Leroux
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
65'
D. Samassekou ↔ H. Herrera
Houston Dynamo
🔄
69'
N. Tsakiris ↔ I. Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
69'
B. Leroux ↔ N. Fernandez
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
75'
Agustin Resch
Houston Dynamo
🔄
77'
D. McGuire ↔ M. Arana
Houston Dynamo
🔄
77'
I. Aliyu ↔ N. Markanich
Houston Dynamo
🔄
82'
E. Lowen ↔ J. Skahan
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
82'
O. Bouda ↔ L. Jovanovic
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
84'
Felipe Andrade ↔ F. Negri
Houston Dynamo
🟨
90'
Benjamin Kikanović
San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 85.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
85.3%
- ▥
BTTS No
55%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
San Jose Earthquakes Win 7.4%
Draw 7.4%
Houston Dynamo Win 85.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Jose Earthquakes1.48
Houston Dynamo1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
W D D L L
5 GF / 9 GA
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
W D D L W
4 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.72
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
17
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
15
5.13
Shots on Goal
4.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 29 matches
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 33 matches
San Jose Earthquakes Statistic Houston Dynamo
14 Wins 20
5 Draws 6
10 Losses 7
50 Goals For 53
42 Goals Against 37
1.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
17 BTTS Yes 16
23 Over 1.5 24
16 Over 2.5 15
13 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 13
5 Failed To Score 6
5.13 Shots On Goal 4.58
13.5 Total Shots 13.21
6.33 Corners 4.25
48.9% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. San Jose Earthquakes have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Houston Dynamo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Jose Earthquakes expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Houston Dynamo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Houston Dynamo having the stronger overall control.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

With 34 points from 22 games and a place of 4, San Jose Earthquakes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 39:33, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through P. Judd (9 goals), Timo Werner (4 goals), O. Bouda (3 goals), with creative support from N. Tsakiris (5 assists), Paul Marie (4 assists), P. Judd (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Houston Dynamo Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 39 points from 22 games, Houston Dynamo bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 12 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 30:26, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Guilherme (6 goals), M. Bogusz (3 goals), L. Ennali (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (2 assists), L. Ennali (2 assists), Jack McGlynn (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 4 times, Houston Dynamo won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:28 from San Jose Earthquakes's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (92.6%)
Predicted formations: San Jose Earthquakes 3-4-2-1 / Houston Dynamo 4-2-3-1
Missing players: San Jose Earthquakes 8, Houston Dynamo 3
H2H summary: San Jose Earthquakes wins 4, draws 3, Houston Dynamo wins 8

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 19 7 8 74:34 40 64
W W W L W
2 33 15 10 8 59:50 9 55
D L W D W
3 33 14 10 9 56:48 8 52
W D L D D
4 33 14 9 10 58:48 10 51
L L L L D
5 33 14 9 10 43:42 1 51
L W D D D
6 33 12 11 10 51:38 13 47
L D D W D
7 33 11 11 11 49:55 -6 44
W D D W L
8 33 12 7 14 60:61 -1 43
W W W D L
9 33 12 7 14 46:47 -1 43
L D W D D
10 33 11 10 12 42:45 -3 43
L L D D L
11 33 12 6 15 51:51 0 42
L W W W D
12 33 10 11 12 53:57 -4 41
W W D W D
13 33 9 11 13 57:62 -5 38
W L D D D
14 33 8 10 15 42:63 -21 34
L L W L L
15 33 6 5 22 39:81 -42 23
D L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)