GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
31.08.2026 15:00
David Petriashvili Stadium
Referee: I. Kherkhadze
Gagra
Match Timeline
FC Iberia 1999
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
L. Gurchiani
Gagra
12'
G. Goshteliani
Gagra
🔄
38'
S. Ende ↔ Lucas Cafe
FC Iberia 1999
🔄
46'
I. Alhassan ↔ A. Dzagania
FC Iberia 1999
🔄
60'
L. Gurchiani ↔ G. Khachidze
Gagra
🔄
69'
G. Goshteliani ↔ M. Tsintsadze
Gagra
🔄
69'
A. Andreychuk ↔ D. Mujiri
Gagra
🔄
77'
G. Kobuladze ↔ S. Figueredo
FC Iberia 1999
🟨
78'
S. Figueredo
FC Iberia 1999
82'
D. Mujiri
Gagra
🔄
82'
A. Peikrishvili ↔ Vinicius Cesar
Gagra

Gagra vs FC Iberia 1999 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gagra Win 49.5%
Draw 9%
FC Iberia 1999 Win 41.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gagra1.21
FC Iberia 19991.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gagra Gagra
WWDLW
33 GF / 42 GA
FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999
WLDWL
44 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
18
BTTS Yes
19
14
Over 2.5
17
1
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gagra Gagra 29 matches
FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999 32 matches
Gagra Statistic FC Iberia 1999
7 Wins 13
12 Draws 9
10 Losses 10
33 Goals For 44
42 Goals Against 42
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
18 BTTS Yes 19
24 Over 1.5 25
14 Over 2.5 17
5 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 7
1 Shots On Goal 2
1 Total Shots 0.73
0.25 Corners 2.36
11.5% Ball Possession 21.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FC Iberia 1999's more proactive style and Gagra's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Iberia 1999. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Iberia 1999 having the stronger overall control. FC Iberia 1999 carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 34 points while Gagra sit 8 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Gagra Analysis

So far, Gagra have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 24 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, while the 21:30 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Iberia 1999 Analysis

Placed 3 with 34 points from 20 outings, FC Iberia 1999 continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 30:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gagra won 2 times, FC Iberia 1999 won 12 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:31 from Gagra's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Gagra 4-4-2 / FC Iberia 1999 4-3-3
H2H summary: Gagra wins 2, draws 1, FC Iberia 1999 wins 12

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 7 6 32:21 11 46
W D L D W
2 26 12 8 6 43:34 9 44
D W W W W
3 25 11 9 5 40:27 13 42
W D D W L
4 24 12 4 8 33:27 6 40
W L W L L
5 25 11 4 10 33:27 6 37
D W W L D
6 26 9 9 8 41:31 10 36
W D D L D
7 26 9 5 12 36:49 -13 32
L L L D W
8
Gagra Home
26 6 10 10 24:36 -12 28
L D L W L
9 26 5 10 11 33:39 -6 25
L D D L L
10 26 2 10 14 19:43 -24 16
L D D W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2