BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
Referee: A. Policarpo Bento
Novorizontino
Match Timeline
Criciuma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+1'
Luciano Castan
Criciuma
🔄
46'
Fellipe Mateus ↔ Caue Santos
Criciuma
🟨
56'
Luís Oyama
Novorizontino
🔄
62'
Reidiney ↔ Juninho
Novorizontino
🔄
64'
R. Otero ↔ Ronald Lopes
Criciuma
🔄
65'
Waguininho ↔ Joao Carlos
Criciuma
🔄
72'
Vinicius Paiva ↔ Leo Naldi
Novorizontino
🔄
72'
Luis Oyama ↔ Ronald Barcellos
Novorizontino
🟨
74'
Alexis Alvarino
Novorizontino
🔄
81'
Eduardo ↔ Diego Goncalves
Criciuma
82'
Diego Goncalves · Assist: Cesar Martins
Criciuma
VAR
83'
Diego Gonçalves
Criciuma
🔄
84'
Matheus Bianqui ↔ C. Ortiz
Novorizontino
🔄
85'
Romulo ↔ Diego Mathias
Novorizontino
🟨
87'
Leo Naldi
Novorizontino
🔄
90+4'
Gui Lobo ↔ Thiaguinho
Criciuma

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.6%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Novorizontino Win 47.3%
Draw 11.4%
Criciuma Win 41.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Novorizontino1.2
Criciuma1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Novorizontino Novorizontino
WWDLW
28 GF / 17 GA
Criciuma Criciuma
WLDWL
22 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.22
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
9
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
4
4.83
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Novorizontino Novorizontino 18 matches
Criciuma Criciuma 18 matches
Novorizontino Statistic Criciuma
8 Wins 10
6 Draws 6
4 Losses 2
28 Goals For 22
17 Goals Against 12
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
9 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 2
4.83 Shots On Goal 3.83
14.22 Total Shots 13.11
5.11 Corners 6
48.2% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Criciuma. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Criciuma look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Novorizontino expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Criciuma in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Criciuma having the stronger overall control.

Novorizontino Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 30 points from 17 games, Novorizontino bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 28:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Robson (5 goals), Rômulo (2 goals), Tavinho (2 goals), with creative support from Rômulo (5 assists), Robson (2 assists), Juninho (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Criciuma Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 33 points from 17 games, Criciuma bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a 20:12 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Fellipe Mateus (3 goals), R. Otero (2 goals), Waguininho (2 goals), with creative support from R. Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Waguininho (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Novorizontino won 4 times, Criciuma won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:7 from Novorizontino's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.78 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Novorizontino 4-2-3-1 / Criciuma 3-4-3
H2H summary: Novorizontino wins 4, draws 2, Criciuma wins 3
Stats
Novorizontino Novorizontino
Criciuma Criciuma
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
7 Corner Kicks 7
14 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 2
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Goal 1
9 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 5
6 Shots outsidebox 5
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
330 Total passes 363
239 Passes accurate 264
1.00 expected_goals 0.78
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Novorizontino
Formation
Criciuma
Jordi
Jordi
Ivan Alvarino
Ivan Alvarino
Carlinhos
Carlinhos
Patrick
Patrick
Maykon Jesus
Maykon Jesus
Matheus Bianqui
Matheus Bianqui
Luis Oyama
Luis Oyama
Romulo
Romulo
Reidiney
Reidiney
Carlao
Carlao
Vinicius Paiva
Vinicius Paiva
Pedro Santos
Pedro Santos
Cesar Martins
🎯
Cesar Martins
Rodrigo
Rodrigo
Luciano Castan
Luciano Castan
Willean Lepo
Willean Lepo
Eduardo
Eduardo
Gui Lobo
Gui Lobo
Marcelo Hermes
Marcelo Hermes
R. Otero
R. Otero
Waguininho
Waguininho
Fellipe Mateus
Fellipe Mateus
Novorizontino 4-3-3
Starting XI
93
Jordi
G
22
Ivan Alvarino
🟨 74'
D
3
Carlinhos
D
4
Patrick
D
66
Maykon Jesus
D
17
Matheus Bianqui
↓ 84'
M
6
Luis Oyama
↓ 72' 🟨 56'
M
10
Romulo
↓ 85'
M
41
Reidiney
↓ 62'
F
9
Carlao
F
16
Vinicius Paiva
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
31
Cesar Augusto
G
18
Leo Naldi
↑ 72' 🟨 87'
M
27
Diego Mathias
↑ 85'
F
15
Tavinho
F
21
Kauan Alemao
D
8
C. Ortiz
↑ 84'
F
28
Marlon
M
30
Nicolas Careca
F
14
Eduardo Brock
D
50
Juninho
↑ 62'
M
24
J. Lora
D
7
Ronald Barcellos
↑ 72'
F
Criciuma 3-4-3
Starting XI
70
Pedro Santos
G
37
Cesar Martins
🎯 82'
D
3
Rodrigo
D
4
Luciano Castan
🟨 45+1'
D
97
Willean Lepo
M
5
Eduardo
↓ 81'
M
8
Gui Lobo
↓ 90+4'
M
22
Marcelo Hermes
M
91
R. Otero
↓ 64'
F
13
Waguininho
↓ 65'
F
7
Fellipe Mateus
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
Alisson
G
34
Bruno Alves
D
14
Ronald Lopes
↑ 64'
M
10
Jhonata Robert
F
31
Hiago Alves
M
77
Diego Goncalves
⚽ 82' ↑ 81'
F
11
Romarinho
F
9
Nicolas
F
88
Caue Santos
↑ 46'
21
Joao Carlos
↑ 65'
F
50
Thiaguinho
↑ 90+4'
M
Last matches: Novorizontino
24.08.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
4
1
W
20.08.26
Ser
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
3
0
W
16.08.26
Ser
Novorizontino
CRB
0
0
D
09.08.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Juventude
0
1
L
26.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Londrina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Operario-PR
1
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Atletico Goianiense
3
0
W
26.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
2
1
W
22.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
10.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Goias
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ceara
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Cuiaba
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Avai
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
3
0
W
Last matches: Criciuma
23.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
0
2
L
20.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
15.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
1
0
W
09.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
0
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
18.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Vila Nova
2
0
W
08.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Sport Recife
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
São Bernardo
1
0
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ceara
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Londrina
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Cuiaba
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
CRB
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
3
L
10.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
H2H: Novorizontino vs Criciuma
21.07.26
H2H
Novorizontino
Criciuma
0
1
L
23.08.25
H2H
Criciuma
Novorizontino
2
0
L
21.04.25
H2H
Novorizontino
Criciuma
1
1
D
25.11.23
H2H
Novorizontino
Criciuma
2
0
W
22.07.23
H2H
Criciuma
Novorizontino
0
1
W
14.08.22
H2H
Novorizontino
Criciuma
3
1
W
01.05.22
H2H
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
1
D
27.08.21
H2H
Novorizontino
Criciuma
1
0
W
27.06.21
H2H
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
0
L
Last matches: Novorizontino
20.08.26
Ser
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
3
0
W
09.08.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Juventude
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Atletico Goianiense
3
0
W
26.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ceara
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
CRB
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Londrina
1
3
L
H2H at home: Novorizontino
21.07.26
H2H
Novorizontino
Criciuma
0
1
L
21.04.25
H2H
Novorizontino
Criciuma
1
1
D
25.11.23
H2H
Novorizontino
Criciuma
2
0
W
14.08.22
H2H
Novorizontino
Criciuma
3
1
W
27.08.21
H2H
Novorizontino
Criciuma
1
0
W
Last matches: Criciuma
20.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
0
2
L
08.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
3
L
07.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
H2H away: Criciuma
21.07.26
H2H
Novorizontino
Criciuma
0
1
W
21.04.25
H2H
Novorizontino
Criciuma
1
1
D
25.11.23
H2H
Novorizontino
Criciuma
2
0
L
14.08.22
H2H
Novorizontino
Criciuma
3
1
L
27.08.21
H2H
Novorizontino
Criciuma
1
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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