DENMARK 2. DIVISION
27.09.2026 11:00

Naestved vs Middelfart Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 64.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
64.9%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Naestved Win 35.1%
Draw 23.3%
Middelfart Win 41.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Naestved1.5
Middelfart1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Naestved Naestved
WWDLW
32 GF / 27 GA
Middelfart Middelfart
WLDWL
36 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
15
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Naestved Naestved 22 matches
Middelfart Middelfart 19 matches
Naestved Statistic Middelfart
7 Wins 9
12 Draws 5
3 Losses 5
32 Goals For 36
27 Goals Against 30
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
15 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 17
8 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Middelfart having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Middelfart. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Naestved Analysis

Placed 5 with 13 points from 8 outings, Naestved continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 11:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Middelfart Analysis

Middelfart come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 13 points from 8 matches. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 15:8 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Naestved won 3 times, Middelfart won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:7 from Naestved's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.7%)
H2H summary: Naestved wins 3, draws 0, Middelfart wins 3

Standings

2nd Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 2 0 23:9 14 20
W W W D W
2 8 4 3 1 13:5 8 15
D D L D W
3 8 3 5 0 15:9 6 14
W D W D D
4 8 3 4 1 15:8 7 13
D D D W L
5 8 3 4 1 11:9 2 13
D W D W L
6 8 3 2 3 11:11 0 11
W D D L W
7 8 2 5 1 11:11 0 11
D W D D D
8 8 2 3 3 12:13 -1 9
L D D D W
9 8 2 1 5 7:15 -8 7
L L W L L
10 8 1 2 5 9:17 -8 5
L D L D W
11 8 1 2 5 9:19 -10 5
L L D D L
12 8 1 1 6 8:18 -10 4
W L L D L
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
2nd Division (Relegation Group)