SLOVENIA 1. SNL
13.09.2026 13:00
Mestni stadion Fazanerija
Referee: M. Tozan

Mura vs Aluminij Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.94
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.8%
1.28
BTTS Yes
75%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.94
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.32
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Mura Win 38.3%
Draw 28.5%
Aluminij Win 33.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mura1.23
Aluminij1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mura Mura
WWDLW
19 GF / 34 GA
Aluminij Aluminij
WLDWL
16 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
0.8
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
11
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mura Mura 17 matches
Aluminij Aluminij 20 matches
Mura Statistic Aluminij
3 Wins 2
6 Draws 7
8 Losses 11
19 Goals For 16
34 Goals Against 28
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
11 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aluminij. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aluminij having the stronger overall control. Mura have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Mura Analysis

Mura approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 7 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 8:14 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aluminij Analysis

Aluminij are currently 7 in the standings with 9 points from 8 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 8:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Mura won 6 times, Aluminij won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Mura's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.5%)
H2H summary: Mura wins 6, draws 4, Aluminij wins 3

Standings

1. SNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 4 4 0 14:6 8 16
D W W D W
2 9 4 3 2 10:9 1 15
W D W L D
3 9 4 3 2 9:8 1 15
L W W W D
4 9 4 2 3 9:6 3 14
W W D W D
5 9 4 1 4 17:14 3 13
W W L L L
6 8 3 2 3 11:11 0 11
L L W L W
7 8 2 3 3 8:8 0 9
D L L W W
8 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L W L L
9
Mura Home
8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
D L L W L
10 7 1 2 4 8:13 -5 5
L D L W L
Qualifying
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation