HUNGARY NB I
05.09.2026 15:30
Referee: M. Derdak
MTK Budapest
Match Timeline
Kisvarda FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Adrian Zeljković
MTK Budapest
🔄
46'
T. Yordanov ↔ B. Biro
Kisvarda FC
🔄
46'
A. Esik ↔ H. Szikszai
Kisvarda FC
53'
M. Matanovic
Kisvarda FC
🔄
61'
C. Herc ↔ T. Balogun
Kisvarda FC
62'
H. Szikszai · Assist: T. Balogun
Kisvarda FC
🔄
63'
A. Zeljkovic ↔ S. Szuhodovszki
MTK Budapest
🔄
63'
A. Nyers ↔ G. Komaromi
MTK Budapest
🔄
74'
M. Matanovic ↔ L. Szor
Kisvarda FC
🟨
79'
Tibor Lippai
Kisvarda FC
🔄
79'
B. Varju ↔ K. Hinora
MTK Budapest
🔄
79'
P. Kovacs ↔ M. Klausz
MTK Budapest
🔄
80'
K. Nagy ↔ A. Youga
Kisvarda FC
88'
M. Klausz
MTK Budapest

MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.5%
Odds 1.85
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.61
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.5%
1.85
BTTS Yes
86%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.61
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69%
1.18
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
MTK Budapest Win 71.5%
Draw 5.8%
Kisvarda FC Win 22.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
MTK Budapest1.87
Kisvarda FC1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
WWDLW
38 GF / 32 GA
Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC
WLDWL
20 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
2.24
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
13
BTTS Yes
8
14
Over 2.5
8
4.5
Shots on Goal
2.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 17 matches
Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC 16 matches
MTK Budapest Statistic Kisvarda FC
7 Wins 5
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 8
38 Goals For 20
32 Goals Against 21
2.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
13 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 11
14 Over 2.5 8
11 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 4
4.5 Shots On Goal 2.83
9.5 Total Shots 13.5
2.5 Corners 4.83
33.3% Ball Possession 35%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights MTK Budapest's more proactive style and Kisvarda FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kisvarda FC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with MTK Budapest expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Kisvarda FC in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kisvarda FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

MTK Budapest Analysis

MTK Budapest come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 9 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 13:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Zalán Kerezsi (4 goals), Gábor Jurek (2 goals), István Bognár (1 goals), with creative support from Zalán Kerezsi (2 assists), István Bognár (2 assists), Gábor Jurek (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Kisvarda FC Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Kisvarda FC have collected 5 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 6:7 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Christián Herc (3 goals), Marko Matanović (1 goals), Ákos Ésik (1 goals), with creative support from Marko Matanović (1 assists), Dominik Soltész (1 assists), Jasmin Mešanović (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, MTK Budapest won 5 times, Kisvarda FC won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from MTK Budapest's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: MTK Budapest 4-2-3-1 / Kisvarda FC 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: MTK Budapest wins 5, draws 3, Kisvarda FC wins 7

Standings

NB I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 4 3 1 16:10 6 15
W W L D W
2 8 5 0 3 13:10 3 15
W L L W W
3 8 4 2 2 17:11 6 14
W W L L W
4 8 4 2 2 17:13 4 14
W D W L D
5 7 3 3 1 11:8 3 12
D D W W W
6 8 3 2 3 16:17 -1 11
W L D W L
7 8 2 3 3 15:14 1 9
L L D W D
8 8 2 3 3 9:10 -1 9
L W D D L
9 8 2 3 3 12:15 -3 9
L W D D D
10 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
D L D L W
11 7 1 3 3 11:14 -3 6
L L W L D
12 8 2 0 6 7:17 -10 6
L W L L L
Play-offs
Relegation