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05.12.2026 15:00
Fir Park

Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

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Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Motherwell Win 0%
Draw 0%
Kilmarnock Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motherwell1.65
Kilmarnock1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motherwell Motherwell
WWDLW
24 GF / 32 GA
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WLDWL
17 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
2
8
BTTS Yes
6
11
Over 2.5
7
3.27
Shots on Goal
4.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Motherwell Motherwell 17 matches
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 11 matches
Motherwell Statistic Kilmarnock
5 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
9 Losses 5
24 Goals For 17
32 Goals Against 22
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 2
8 BTTS Yes 6
15 Over 1.5 8
11 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 3
3.27 Shots On Goal 4.22
8.87 Total Shots 10.89
3.53 Corners 4.67
45.7% Ball Possession 42.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Motherwell won 6 times, Kilmarnock won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:14 from Motherwell's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Motherwell 4-2-3-1 / Kilmarnock 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Motherwell wins 6, draws 6, Kilmarnock wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 0 1 23:5 18 24
W W L W W
2 9 6 2 1 13:7 6 20
D W W W W
3 9 5 1 3 20:15 5 16
L W D L W
4 9 4 2 3 13:10 3 14
D W W L D
5 9 3 3 3 11:11 0 12
D W D L W
6 9 3 3 3 11:12 -1 12
D W W D L
7 9 3 2 4 10:10 0 11
W L D W D
8 9 3 1 5 9:17 -8 10
L L L L L
9 9 2 3 4 9:12 -3 9
W L D W D
10 9 2 2 5 11:16 -5 8
L L L L L
11 9 2 2 5 10:20 -10 8
W L D W D
12 9 2 1 6 9:14 -5 7
L L D L L
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