BRAZIL SERIE D
23.05.2026 21:00
Mixto
Match Timeline
CEOV Operário
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
86'
Wagner Marques
CEOV Operário
90'
Jenison
Mixto

Mixto vs CEOV Operário Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mixto Win 77%
Draw 0%
CEOV Operário Win 23%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mixto1.03
CEOV Operário0.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mixto Mixto
WWDLW
6 GF / 5 GA
CEOV Operário CEOV Operário
WLDWL
5 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
0.71
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
2
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mixto Mixto 7 matches
CEOV Operário CEOV Operário 7 matches
Mixto Statistic CEOV Operário
2 Wins 1
3 Draws 1
2 Losses 5
6 Goals For 5
5 Goals Against 9
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
2 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Mixto's more proactive style and CEOV Operário's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring CEOV Operário. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CEOV Operário having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. CEOV Operário arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Mixto arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 9 points compared to CEOV Operário in 6 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Mixto Analysis

Placed 3 with 9 points from 7 outings, Mixto continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 6:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gabriel Justino (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

CEOV Operário Analysis

CEOV Operário approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 4 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 5:9 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Castanha (2 goals), Augusto (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Mixto won 4 times, CEOV Operário won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from Mixto's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Mixto wins 4, draws 5, CEOV Operário wins 4

Standings

Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4
Mixto Home
10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)