Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
74.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
76.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
68.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Mirassol
Gremio
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mirassol
23 matches
Gremio
21 matches
| Mirassol | Statistic | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 11 | Losses | 8 |
| 25 | Goals For | 26 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.35 | Shots On Goal | 3.61 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 11.33 |
| 5.3 | Corners | 3.89 |
| 51.3% | Ball Possession | 49.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Mirassol appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Gremio. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gremio. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
With 16 points from 17 games and a place of 19, Mirassol still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 18:24, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through Igor Formiga (3 goals), Eduardo (2 goals), Nathan Fogaça (2 goals), with creative support from Alesson (4 assists), Carlos Eduardo (1 assists), Shaylon (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without Igor Formiga, Nathan Fogaca, Negueba, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.
Gremio approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 21 points from 18 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 20:23, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through Carlos Vinicius (9 goals), Edenilson (4 goals), Gabriel Mec (2 goals), with creative support from F. Amuzu (3 assists), Edenilson (2 assists), C. Pavon (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Marlon unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Mirassol won 4 times, Gremio won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:4 from Mirassol's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Mirassol
3
4
9
3
2
2
Lineups
Mirassol
Remo
Mirassol
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
Fluminense
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Corinthians
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Internacional
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Bahia
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
RB Bragantino
Mirassol
Botafogo
Mirassol
Vitoria
Mirassol
Coritiba
Gremio
Fluminense
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Cascavel
Gremio
Corinthians
Gremio
Santos
Gremio
Bahia
Gremio
Flamengo
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Coritiba
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Internacional
Gremio
Remo
Gremio
Palmeiras
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vitoria
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
RB Bragantino
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Remo
Mirassol
Fluminense
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Corinthians
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Bahia
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
RB Bragantino
Mirassol
Coritiba
Mirassol
Santos
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Cascavel
Gremio
Bahia
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Internacional
Gremio
Palmeiras
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Fluminense
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 47 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 19 | 39 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 28 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 27 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 26:30 | -4 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 |
Mirassol
Home
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 23 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Gremio
Away
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 10 |
?
|