PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA

14.09.2026 19:45

SC Braga

Estoril

SC Braga vs Estoril Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 84.5%

Odds 1.44

BTTS

Yes

Probability 54.1%

Odds 1.91

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 27.2%

Odds 1.75

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	84.5%	1.44	▥
BTTS	Yes	54.1%	1.91	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	27.2%	1.75	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	77%	1.25	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	2.10	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	8.50	▥

Probability Distribution

SC Braga Win 84.5%

Draw 4.7%

Estoril Win 10.8%

Expected Goals (xG)

SC Braga1.48

Estoril0.61

Recent Form (Last 5)

SC Braga

WWDLW

26 GF / 8 GA

Estoril

WLDWL

6 GF / 10 GA

Key Stats

1.73

Average Goals Scored

0.67

0.53

Average Goals Conceded

1.11

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

3.5

Shots on Goal

4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SC Braga 15 matches

Estoril 9 matches

SC Braga	Statistic	Estoril
10	Wins	1
4	Draws	4
1	Losses	4
26	Goals For	6
8	Goals Against	10
1.73	Avg Goals Scored	0.67
0.53	Avg Goals Conceded	1.11
5	BTTS Yes	3
8	Over 1.5	7
7	Over 2.5	2
5	Over 3.5	0
10	Clean Sheets	3
2	Failed To Score	5
3.5	Shots On Goal	4.8
7	Total Shots	12.6
3.8	Corners	5
46.3%	Ball Possession	45.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SC Braga won 9 times, Estoril won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:9 from SC Braga's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)

Predicted formations: SC Braga 3-4-3 / Estoril 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: SC Braga wins 9, draws 5, Estoril wins 1

Standings

Primeira Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Porto	6	6	0	0	15:2	13	18	W W W W W
2	Benfica	5	4	1	0	18:3	15	13	W W W W D
3	Sporting CP	5	4	1	0	14:5	9	13	W W W W D
4	Santa Clara	5	3	2	0	9:3	6	11	W D W W D
5	Arouca	5	3	1	1	7:3	4	10	D W L W W
6	Estrela	5	2	3	0	11:9	2	9	W D W D D
7	Academico Viseu	6	2	2	2	7:9	-2	8	W W L D L
8	GIL Vicente	4	2	1	1	3:1	2	7	L D W W
9	SC Braga Home	4	2	1	1	6:5	1	7	L W W D
10	Maritimo	5	2	1	2	6:8	-2	7	L L D W W
11	Alverca	6	1	2	3	8:11	-3	5	W L D L D
12	Vitória SC	6	1	1	4	4:7	-3	4	L D L W L
13	Nacional	6	1	1	4	7:11	-4	4	L L L L W
14	Moreirense	5	1	1	3	4:12	-8	4	L L W L D
15	Famalicao	5	0	3	2	4:6	-2	3	D D L L D
16	Rio Ave	5	1	0	4	2:11	-9	3	L L W L L
17	Estoril Away	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2	D L L L D
18	Casa Pia	6	0	1	5	1:15	-14	1	L D L L L