Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
74%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Millwall
Hull City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Millwall
48 matches
Hull City
49 matches
| Millwall | Statistic | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 21 |
| 12 | Draws | 12 |
| 12 | Losses | 16 |
| 65 | Goals For | 70 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 70 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 30 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 37 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 31 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 18 |
| 19 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.23 | Shots On Goal | 3.98 |
| 12.98 | Total Shots | 11.22 |
| 5.65 | Corners | 4.57 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 45.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The first leg ended level at 0-0, so the tie remains finely balanced going into this match. In the previous meeting, Millwall had more of the ball in the first leg (61% possession compared to 39%). Millwall were also more accurate in attack, recording 2 shots on target to 1. Millwall also attempted more passes (428 to 262) and completed 338. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Hull City. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Millwall enter this tie with a season profile built on 83 points from 46 matches, placing them 3 in their league. Their record of 24 wins, 11 draws, and 11 defeats with goals at 64:49 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on F. Azeez (11 goals), Josh Coburn (9 goals), M. Ivanovic (9 goals), with creative support from F. Azeez (7 assists), T. Crama (6 assists), T. Ballo (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the return of 13 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Jensen, D. Kelly, M. Luongo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Hull City come into this tie placed 6 in their league with 73 points from 46 matches. With 21 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses plus a goal ratio of 70:66, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Oliver McBurnie (17 goals), J. Gelhardt (14 goals), K. Joseph (8 goals), with creative support from R. Giles (8 assists), Oliver McBurnie (7 assists), K. Joseph (5 assists), while defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Famewo, E. Matazo, A. Hadziahmetovic unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Millwall won 3 times, Hull City won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:17 from Millwall's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Millwall
5
7
4
6
1
1
Lineups
Millwall
Stevenage
Millwall
Gillingham
Millwall
Eldense
Millwall
FC Andorra
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Oxford United
Millwall
Leicester
Millwall
Stoke City
Millwall
QPR
Millwall
West Brom
Millwall
Norwich
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Millwall
Ipswich
Millwall
Blackburn
Millwall
Derby
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Preston
Millwall
Birmingham
Millwall
Portsmouth
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City
Middlesbrough
Hull City
Millwall
Hull City
Norwich
Hull City
Charlton
Hull City
Leicester
Hull City
Birmingham
Hull City
Sheffield Utd
Hull City
Coventry
Hull City
Oxford United
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City
West Brom
Hull City
Wrexham
Hull City
Millwall
Hull City
Ipswich
Hull City
Portsmouth
Hull City
Derby
Hull City
QPR
Hull City
Chelsea
Hull City
Bristol City
Hull City
Watford
Millwall
Oxford United
Millwall
QPR
Millwall
Norwich
Millwall
Blackburn
Millwall
Derby
Millwall
Birmingham
Millwall
Portsmouth
Millwall
Sheffield Utd
Millwall
Charlton
Millwall
Swansea
Millwall
Bristol City
Millwall
Ipswich
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Southampton
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
Millwall
Preston
Millwall
Leicester
Millwall
Stoke City
Millwall
West Brom
Millwall
Coventry
Hull City
Charlton
Hull City
Leicester
Hull City
Sheffield Utd
Hull City
Oxford United
Hull City
West Brom
Hull City
Wrexham
Hull City
Ipswich
Hull City
Portsmouth
Hull City
Blackburn
Hull City
Preston
Hull City
Southampton
Hull City
Middlesbrough
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City
Millwall
Hull City
Stoke City
Hull City
QPR
Hull City
Derby
Hull City
Norwich
Hull City
Birmingham
Hull City
Watford
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Millwall
Home
|
46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Hull City
Away
|
46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|