COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
01.09.2026 20:00
Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Envigado
Match Timeline
Union Magdalena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
Envigado
Envigado
🟨
42'
D. Mera
Union Magdalena
🟨
45+2'
G. Arrieta
Union Magdalena
🔄
46'
S. Acuna ↔ D. Dawson
Envigado
50'
J. Lerma
Union Magdalena
🔄
57'
W. Hurtado ↔ J. Catano
Envigado
🔄
57'
J. Nieva ↔ J. Rodriguez
Envigado
🟨
64'
R. Blanco
Union Magdalena
🔄
74'
G. Arrieta ↔ C. Iguaran
Union Magdalena
🔄
80'
D. A. Valencia Mosquera ↔ J. Rey
Envigado
🔄
85'
J. Mercado ↔ K. Salazar
Union Magdalena
🟨
88'
F. Molina
Union Magdalena
🟨
89'
J. Vasquez
Union Magdalena
🟨
90+7'
K. Salazar
Union Magdalena
🟨
90+7'
Union Magdalena
Union Magdalena
🔄
90'
R. Blanco ↔ J. Farias
Union Magdalena
🔄
90'
O. Surmay ↔ V. Prado
Union Magdalena

Envigado vs Union Magdalena Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.3%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Envigado Win 56.3%
Draw 14.6%
Union Magdalena Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Envigado1.2
Union Magdalena1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Envigado Envigado
WWDLW
39 GF / 25 GA
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
WLDWL
36 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
15
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Envigado Envigado 28 matches
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 26 matches
Envigado Statistic Union Magdalena
15 Wins 12
6 Draws 7
7 Losses 7
39 Goals For 36
25 Goals Against 24
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
15 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 5
12 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Union Magdalena look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Union Magdalena. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union Magdalena having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Envigado Analysis

Envigado come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 33 points after 17 matches. The return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 28:17, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Union Magdalena Analysis

Union Magdalena approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 32 points after 15 outings. They have recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a 27:15 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Envigado won 1 times, Union Magdalena won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:15 from Envigado's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)
H2H summary: Envigado wins 1, draws 3, Union Magdalena wins 5

Standings

Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 3 2 1 6:3 3 11
W W D D W
1 6 4 1 1 8:6 2 13
W W L W W
2 6 3 1 2 4:3 1 10
L L W W D
2 6 2 3 1 8:4 4 9
D D W L W
3 6 1 4 1 3:3 0 7
D W D D D
3 6 1 3 2 5:6 -1 6
L D D W L
4 6 1 1 4 4:8 -4 4
D L L L L
4 6 0 3 3 3:8 -5 3
D L D L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs: Final)