COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
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Estadio Polideportivo Sur

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.3%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Envigado Win 56.3%
Draw 14.6%
Union Magdalena Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Envigado1.23
Union Magdalena1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Envigado Envigado
WWDLW
38 GF / 22 GA
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
WLDWL
36 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
14
BTTS Yes
13
12
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Envigado Envigado 26 matches
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 24 matches
Envigado Statistic Union Magdalena
15 Wins 12
6 Draws 7
5 Losses 5
38 Goals For 36
22 Goals Against 21
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
14 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 5
12 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Union Magdalena look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Union Magdalena. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union Magdalena having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Envigado Analysis

Envigado come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 33 points after 17 matches. The return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 28:17, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Union Magdalena Analysis

Union Magdalena approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 32 points after 15 outings. They have recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a 27:15 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Envigado won 1 times, Union Magdalena won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:15 from Envigado's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)
H2H summary: Envigado wins 1, draws 3, Union Magdalena wins 5
Last matches: Envigado
03.08.26
Pri
Envigado
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
27.07.26
Pri
Envigado
Real Soacha
1
0
W
29.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
26.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Real Cartagena
3
2
W
18.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Quindio
1
0
W
14.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Tigres FC
2
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Internacional Palmira
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Internacional Palmira
0
0
D
29.04.26
Pri
Envigado
Tigres FC
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Envigado
Quindio
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Envigado
Patriotas
2
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Envigado
Barranquilla
2
1
W
09.04.26
Pri
Envigado
Union Magdalena
2
4
L
06.04.26
Pri
Envigado
Depor FC
2
1
W
31.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Real Santander
3
1
W
25.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Bogota FC
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Leones FC
3
0
W
05.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Popayan
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Orsomarso
1
0
W
Last matches: Union Magdalena
31.07.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Orsomarso
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Bogota FC
0
1
L
21.05.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Bogota FC
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Barranquilla
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Real Cartagena
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Barranquilla
2
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Bogota FC
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Depor FC
3
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Internacional Palmira
0
2
L
09.04.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Envigado
4
2
W
30.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Ind. Yumbo
2
0
W
26.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Real Santander
2
0
W
23.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Patriotas
2
1
W
11.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Real Soacha
1
1
D
04.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Barranquilla
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Quindio
2
1
W
24.02.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Tigres FC
3
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Leones FC
3
1
W
H2H: Envigado vs Union Magdalena
09.04.26
H2H
Union Magdalena
Envigado
4
2
L
17.10.25
H2H
Union Magdalena
Envigado
3
1
L
26.04.25
H2H
Envigado
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
31.07.23
H2H
Envigado
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
06.02.23
H2H
Union Magdalena
Envigado
1
1
D
06.08.22
H2H
Envigado
Union Magdalena
1
2
L
11.02.22
H2H
Union Magdalena
Envigado
2
1
L
13.10.19
H2H
Union Magdalena
Envigado
1
0
L
21.04.19
H2H
Envigado
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
Last matches: Envigado
27.07.26
Pri
Envigado
Real Soacha
1
0
W
29.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Quindio
1
0
W
04.05.26
Pri
Envigado
Internacional Palmira
0
0
D
29.04.26
Pri
Envigado
Tigres FC
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Envigado
Patriotas
2
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Bogota FC
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Envigado
Popayan
1
0
W
24.02.26
Pri
Envigado
Quindio
1
2
L
09.02.26
Pri
Envigado
Tigres FC
0
0
D
31.01.26
Pri
Envigado
Ind. Yumbo
2
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Envigado
Independiente Medellin
2
1
W
07.11.25
Pri
Envigado
Millonarios
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Envigado
Chico
0
2
L
04.10.25
Pri
Envigado
Bucaramanga
1
2
L
20.09.25
Pri
Envigado
Alianza Valledupar
0
0
D
07.09.25
Pri
Envigado
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
23.08.25
Pri
Envigado
Deportivo Pereira
1
1
D
10.08.25
Pri
Envigado
Junior
1
1
D
H2H at home: Envigado
26.04.25
H2H
Envigado
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
31.07.23
H2H
Envigado
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
06.08.22
H2H
Envigado
Union Magdalena
1
2
L
21.04.19
H2H
Envigado
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
Last matches: Union Magdalena
25.07.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Bogota FC
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Barranquilla
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
27.04.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Bogota FC
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Depor FC
3
1
W
30.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Ind. Yumbo
2
0
W
23.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
04.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Barranquilla
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Quindio
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Leones FC
3
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Orsomarso
1
0
W
11.01.26
Fri
Union Magdalena
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pri
Union Magdalena
America de Cali
0
3
L
26.10.25
Pri
Union Magdalena
Once Caldas
0
1
L
12.10.25
Pri
Union Magdalena
Bucaramanga
0
1
L
27.09.25
Pri
Union Magdalena
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
14.09.25
Pri
Union Magdalena
Santa Fe
0
2
L
30.08.25
Pri
Union Magdalena
Chico
0
1
L
21.08.25
Pri
Union Magdalena
Millonarios
2
1
W
14.08.25
Pri
Union Magdalena
Deportivo Cali
1
3
L
H2H away: Union Magdalena
26.04.25
H2H
Envigado
Union Magdalena
2
1
L
31.07.23
H2H
Envigado
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
06.08.22
H2H
Envigado
Union Magdalena
1
2
W
21.04.19
H2H
Envigado
Union Magdalena
1
1
D