Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
65.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Millonarios
Deportivo Pasto
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Millonarios
25 matches
Deportivo Pasto
24 matches
| Millonarios | Statistic | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 11 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 11 | Losses | 9 |
| 32 | Goals For | 34 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.14 | Shots On Goal | 3.83 |
| 15.38 | Total Shots | 11.87 |
| 5.95 | Corners | 4 |
| 47.6% | Ball Possession | 50.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportivo Pasto. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Deportivo Pasto arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Millonarios are currently 10 in the standings with 26 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 31:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Deportivo Pasto sit 3 with 34 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 29:25, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Santiago Córdoba (1 goals), Joider Micolta (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Chávez (1 assists), Hervin Goyes (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Millonarios won 10 times, Deportivo Pasto won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:8 from Millonarios's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Millonarios
10
1
3
3
4
1
Lineups
Millonarios
Junior
Millonarios
Bucaramanga
Millonarios
Colo Colo
Millonarios
Universitario
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
America de Cali
Millonarios
Santa Fe
Millonarios
Jaguares
Millonarios
Fortaleza FC
Millonarios
Once Caldas
Millonarios
Atletico Nacional
Millonarios
Chico
Millonarios
Cucuta
Millonarios
Deportivo Pereira
Millonarios
Internacional de Bogota
Millonarios
Llaneros
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
Deportivo Cali
Millonarios
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Pasto
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
Junior
Deportivo Pasto
Santa Fe
Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pasto
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pasto
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pasto
Chico
Deportivo Pasto
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pasto
America de Cali
Deportivo Pasto
Cucuta
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pasto
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
Llaneros
Deportivo Pasto
Bucaramanga
Millonarios
Bucaramanga
Millonarios
Colo Colo
Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
Santa Fe
Millonarios
Fortaleza FC
Millonarios
Atletico Nacional
Millonarios
Cucuta
Millonarios
Deportivo Pereira
Millonarios
Llaneros
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
Independiente Medellin
Millonarios
Junior
Millonarios
Once Caldas
Millonarios
Bucaramanga
Millonarios
America de Cali
Millonarios
Fortaleza FC
Millonarios
Deportivo Pasto
Millonarios
Santa Fe
Millonarios
Junior
Millonarios
Union Magdalena
Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
Junior
Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pasto
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pasto
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pasto
Llaneros
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Pasto
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Pasto
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pasto
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pasto
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Pasto
Junior
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Pasto
Millonarios
Deportivo Pasto
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
Llaneros
Deportivo Pasto
Union Magdalena
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Deportivo Pasto
Away
|
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Millonarios
Home
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
L
L
W
L
|