Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
65.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
77.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
73.6%
|
- |
Metz
Paris FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Metz
31 matches
Paris FC
32 matches
| Metz | Statistic | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 11 |
| 21 | Losses | 11 |
| 29 | Goals For | 41 |
| 67 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 2.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.19 | Shots On Goal | 3.75 |
| 9.94 | Total Shots | 11.41 |
| 4.03 | Corners | 4.28 |
| 49.9% | Ball Possession | 51.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Paris FC seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Paris FC. Paris FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 35 points while Metz sit 18 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Metz have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Metz expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Paris FC in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Paris FC having the stronger overall control.
With 15 points from 29 games and a place of 18, Metz still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 6 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 26:63 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Hein (6 goals), H. Diallo (4 goals), G. Tsitaishvili (3 goals), with creative support from G. Hein (5 assists), G. Tsitaishvili (2 assists), C. Sabaly (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Mangondo, B. Traore, I. Guerti unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Paris FC are currently 12 in the standings with 35 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses, while the 37:45 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Kebbal (8 goals), M. Munetsi (4 goals), Jonathan Ikoné (3 goals), with creative support from I. Kebbal (4 assists), M. Simon (3 assists), M. Lopez (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with J. Krasso, S. Alakouch, P. Hamel, P. Lees-Melou unavailable.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Metz won 9 times, Paris FC won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:16 from Metz's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.
Metz
6
7
3
7
4
1
Lineups
Metz
Guingamp
Metz
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Metz
Fortuna Sittard
Metz
Sochaux
Metz
Seraing United
Metz
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Metz
Versailles
Metz
FC Differdange 03
Metz
US Mondorf-les-bains
Metz
Nice
Metz
Lorient
Metz
Monaco
Metz
Seraing United
Metz
Le Havre
Metz
Marseille
Metz
Nantes
Metz
Rennes
Metz
Toulouse
Metz
Lens
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Paris FC
FSV Mainz 05
Paris FC
VfB Stuttgart
Paris FC
Como
Paris FC
Reims
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
Rennes
Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
Paris FC
Lille
Paris FC
Monaco
Paris FC
Lorient
Paris FC
Le Havre
Paris FC
Strasbourg
Paris FC
Lyon
Paris FC
Nice
Paris FC
Toulouse
Paris FC
Lens
Paris FC
Auxerre
Paris FC
Lorient
Paris FC
Marseille
Paris FC
Angers
Metz
Guingamp
Metz
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Metz
Fortuna Sittard
Metz
Sochaux
Metz
Seraing United
Metz
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Metz
Versailles
Metz
FC Differdange 03
Metz
US Mondorf-les-bains
Metz
Lorient
Metz
Monaco
Metz
Nantes
Metz
Toulouse
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
Auxerre
Metz
Lille
Metz
Lyon
Metz
Montpellier
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
Rennes
Paris FC
FSV Mainz 05
Paris FC
VfB Stuttgart
Paris FC
Como
Paris FC
Rennes
Paris FC
Lorient
Paris FC
Strasbourg
Paris FC
Lyon
Paris FC
Toulouse
Paris FC
Auxerre
Paris FC
Lorient
Paris FC
Nantes
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
Raon l'Etape
Paris FC
Le Havre
Paris FC
Lille
Paris FC
Monaco
Paris FC
Lens
Paris FC
Nice
Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Paris FC
Away
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 |
Metz
Home
|
34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|