Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
81.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.3%
|
- |
Marsaxlokk
Gzira United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Marsaxlokk
29 matches
Gzira United
29 matches
| Marsaxlokk | Statistic | Gzira United |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 12 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 11 |
| 36 | Goals For | 37 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gzira United. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gzira United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Placed 3 with 22 points from 13 outings, Marsaxlokk continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 15:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Dodo (10 goals), A. Majok (4 goals), N. Portelli (4 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Gzira United arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 20 points after 13 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 15:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Andre Carlos (8 goals), Maxuell Samurai (8 goals), J. Bonilla (5 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Marsaxlokk won 4 times, Gzira United won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from Marsaxlokk's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.09 goals per game.
Lineups
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Mosta
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Hibernians
Marsaxlokk
Zabbar St. Patrick
Marsaxlokk
Sliema Wanderers
Marsaxlokk
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
Tarxien Rainbows
Marsaxlokk
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
Sliema Wanderers
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Gzira United
Floriana
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
Gzira United
Hamrun Spartans
Gzira United
Valletta FC
Gzira United
Sliema Wanderers
Gzira United
Hibernians
Gzira United
Zabbar St. Patrick
Gzira United
Mosta
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
Gzira United
Valletta FC
Gzira United
Floriana
Gzira United
Hamrun Spartans
Gzira United
Tarxien Rainbows
Gzira United
Birkirkara
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Gzira United
Zabbar St. Patrick
Gzira United
Hibernians
Gzira United
Tarxien Rainbows
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
Gzira United
Mosta
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Valletta FC
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Hibernians
Marsaxlokk
Sliema Wanderers
Marsaxlokk
Tarxien Rainbows
Marsaxlokk
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
Zabbar St. Patrick
Marsaxlokk
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Mosta
Gzira United
Hamrun Spartans
Gzira United
Valletta FC
Gzira United
Sliema Wanderers
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
Gzira United
Tarxien Rainbows
Gzira United
Hibernians
Gzira United
Valletta FC
Gzira United
Mosta
Gzira United
Zabbar St. Patrick
Gzira United
Sliema Wanderers
Gzira United
Hamrun Spartans
Gzira United
Marsaxlokk
Gzira United
Floriana
Gzira United
Birkirkara
Gzira United
Hibernians
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 22 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:14 | 2 | 19 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Marsaxlokk
Home
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 18 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 |
Gzira United
Away
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:18 | -8 | 5 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8:21 | -13 | 5 |
L
W
W
D
D
|