Maribor vs Celje Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
88.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Maribor
Celje
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Maribor
17 matches
Celje
23 matches
| Maribor | Statistic | Celje |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 8 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 2 | Losses | 7 |
| 30 | Goals For | 32 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 9.29 |
| 0 | Corners | 4.71 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 52.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Celje. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Celje having the stronger overall control.
Operating from 1 place with 20 points from 10 games, Maribor bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with a 19:8 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Placed 5 with 15 points from 10 outings, Celje continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 12:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Maribor won 2 times, Celje won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:25 from Maribor's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Maribor
Home
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21:9 | 12 | 23 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 19 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 16 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Celje
Away
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
| 7 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 13 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 11 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:24 | -11 | 10 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 |
D
L
L
L
D
|