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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
13.10.2026 19:00
St. Andrew's Stadium
Referee: Sam Allison
Birmingham
Match Timeline
Preston
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
24'
Liam Gibbs ↔ Delano Burgzorg
Preston
⚽
34'
Liam Millar · Assist: Patrick Roberts
Birmingham
⚽
45+2'
August Priske · Assist: Alex Cochrane
Birmingham
⚽
45+4'
August Priske · Assist: Jay Stansfield
Birmingham
🔄
45'
Callum Lang ↔ Andrew Moran
Preston
🟨
47'
Stanley Mills
Preston
🟨
50'
Liam Millar
Birmingham
🟥
56'
Stanley Mills
Preston
🔄
61'
Jhon Elmer Solís Romero ↔ Max Bird
Birmingham
🔄
61'
Liam Millar ↔ Demarai Gray
Birmingham
🔄
61'
Alfie Devine ↔ Lewis Gibson
Preston
🔄
75'
Patrick Roberts ↔ Carlos Vicente
Birmingham
🔄
75'
Tomoki Iwata ↔ Taylor·Gardner Hickman
Birmingham
⚽
76'
Demarai Gray · Assist: Max Bird
Birmingham
🔄
84'
Jay Stansfield ↔ Marvin Ducksch
Birmingham

Birmingham vs Preston Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79%
Odds 1.48
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79%
1.48 ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.73 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.10 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.30 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Birmingham Win 79%
Draw 7.5%
Preston Win 13.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Birmingham1.77
Preston1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Birmingham Birmingham
WWDLW
24 GF / 15 GA
Preston Preston
WLDWL
16 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.87
10
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
10
4.56
Shots on Goal
2.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Birmingham Birmingham 14 matches
Preston Preston 15 matches
Birmingham Statistic Preston
7 Wins 2
6 Draws 1
1 Losses 12
24 Goals For 16
15 Goals Against 28
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.87
10 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 6
4.56 Shots On Goal 2.89
13.44 Total Shots 12.89
6.33 Corners 5.11
48% Ball Possession 43.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Birmingham's more proactive style and Preston's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Birmingham expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Preston in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Preston having the stronger overall control. Birmingham arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 11 points compared to Preston in 23 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Preston arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Preston.

Birmingham Analysis

Birmingham sit 10 with 11 points after 8 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 12:11 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Neumann (2 goals), Carlos Vicente (2 goals), L. Millar (1 goals), with creative support from L. Millar (3 assists), A. Cochrane (1 assists), A. Priske (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Preston Analysis

Preston sit 23 with 4 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats with a 8:15 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Lang (3 goals), J. Kenny (2 goals), J. Erabi (1 goals), with creative support from J. Thompson (1 assists), A. Vukčević (1 assists), D. Burgzorg (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham won 6 times, Preston won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Birmingham's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Birmingham 4-2-3-1 / Preston 5-3-2
Missing players: Birmingham 2, Preston 8
H2H summary: Birmingham wins 6, draws 3, Preston wins 6

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 15:7 8 20
W W W L D
2 9 5 3 1 17:12 5 18
W D D W W
3 9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
4 9 5 1 3 15:13 2 16
W W W D W
5 8 4 2 2 15:11 4 14
L W W D L
6 9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
7 9 3 5 1 13:11 2 14
W D W L D
8 9 4 2 3 16:15 1 14
W D D L W
9 9 4 2 3 10:9 1 14
L L D W W
10 9 4 2 3 12:13 -1 14
D W L L W
11 9 5 2 2 20:10 10 13
W L W W D
12 9 3 4 2 8:11 -3 13
D L D D L
13 9 3 3 3 14:13 1 12
W D W L L
14 9 3 3 3 12:11 1 12
W L L W L
15 9 2 5 2 10:13 -3 11
D W L D D
16 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
L L W W D
17 9 3 1 5 12:17 -5 10
L W W L L
18 9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
19 8 2 2 4 9:11 -2 8
L D D W L
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
L L L W L
21 9 1 4 4 11:14 -3 7
L W L D L
22 9 1 4 4 13:17 -4 7
W D L D L
23 9 1 3 5 8:15 -7 6
D D L L L
24 9 1 1 7 8:16 -8 4
L D L L W
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One