Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.1%
|
3.60 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.82 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.12 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
13.00 |
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Stoke City
13 matches
Middlesbrough
12 matches
| Stoke City | Statistic | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 4 | Losses | 2 |
| 18 | Goals For | 22 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.83 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 5.22 |
| 11.78 | Total Shots | 17.11 |
| 4.44 | Corners | 5.56 |
| 44.9% | Ball Possession | 59.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Middlesbrough. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Stoke City expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Middlesbrough in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Middlesbrough having the stronger overall control. Stoke City come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
So far, Stoke City have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 13 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 13:12 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Bocat (2 goals), E. Galbraith (2 goals), S. Gallagher (2 goals), with creative support from E. Bocat (2 assists), E. Galbraith (1 assists), S. Gallagher (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Middlesbrough arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 15 points after 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 16:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on W. Lankshear (6 goals), A. Cozier-Duberry (2 goals), S. Berhalter (2 goals), with creative support from L. Ayling (2 assists), T. Conway (2 assists), A. Cozier-Duberry (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stoke City won 4 times, Middlesbrough won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:20 from Stoke City's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
Away
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 18 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 16 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Stoke City
Home
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 14 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 14 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 10 | 13 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 10 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 7 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 23 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|