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BRAZIL › SERIE B
13.10.2026 22:30
Estadio Joaquim Portugal
Referee: Lucas Guimaraes Rechatiko Horn

Athletic Club vs Londrina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.22
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.24
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
76.8%
1.22 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.24 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Athletic Club Win 53.6%
Draw 23.2%
Londrina Win 23.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club1.3
Londrina1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WWDLW
38 GF / 37 GA
Londrina Londrina
WLDWL
40 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
19
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
20
3.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Athletic Club Athletic Club 32 matches
Londrina Londrina 32 matches
Athletic Club Statistic Londrina
10 Wins 7
12 Draws 7
10 Losses 18
38 Goals For 40
37 Goals Against 47
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
19 BTTS Yes 17
25 Over 1.5 24
13 Over 2.5 20
5 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 12
3.5 Shots On Goal 4
11.88 Total Shots 14.06
4.22 Corners 5.78
44.1% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Athletic Club's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Londrina arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Londrina. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Athletic Club expected to line up in 3-5-1-1 and Londrina in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Londrina having the stronger overall control.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club sit 14 with 42 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 38:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (4 goals), W. Aponza (4 goals), with creative support from Max (4 assists), Kauan (3 assists), Ian Luccas (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Londrina Analysis

Londrina sit 18 with 28 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 39:45 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from João Vitor (4 assists), Bruno Santos (3 assists), Lucas Marques (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 3 times, Londrina won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Athletic Club's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (76.8%)
Predicted formations: Athletic Club 3-5-1-1 / Londrina 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Athletic Club wins 3, draws 0, Londrina wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 7 8 46:31 15 61
W D W W W
2 33 17 9 7 59:28 31 60
W W W D L
3 33 17 9 7 39:21 18 60
D W W W L
4 33 15 12 6 39:29 10 57
D W D D W
5 33 16 8 9 34:28 6 56
W L W W L
6 33 14 11 8 41:31 10 53
D L W W L
7 33 15 7 11 51:47 4 52
D W L W L
8 33 13 12 8 45:35 10 51
D W W L W
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 33 13 9 11 44:45 -1 48
L L L D W
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 33 12 10 11 46:36 10 46
D L W D W
13 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
14 33 11 9 13 35:40 -5 42
L W W D W
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 33 11 8 14 37:38 -1 41
W W L W D
17 33 10 6 17 33:43 -10 36
W W L L L
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 33 4 5 24 21:54 -33 17
L L L L L
20 33 3 4 26 18:73 -55 13
L L L L W
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