Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 61.4%
Draw 5.3%
Atletico Madrid Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City1.8
Atletico Madrid1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City
WWDLW
4 GF / 2 GA
Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
5 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Manchester City
2 matches
Atletico Madrid
2 matches
| Manchester City | Statistic | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 4 | Goals For | 5 |
| 2 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.5 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 1 times, Atletico Madrid won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Manchester City's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Madrid 4-3-3
H2H summary: Manchester City wins 1, draws 1, Atletico Madrid wins 2
Last matches: Manchester City
05.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
K-League Stars
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
Inter
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Bournemouth
1
1
D
16.05.26
FA
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Brentford
3
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Everton
3
3
D
25.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Burnley
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Arsenal
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Chelsea
3
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Liverpool
4
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
West Ham
1
1
D
11.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
0
3
L
07.03.26
FA
Manchester City
Newcastle
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Leeds
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Newcastle
2
1
W
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
01.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
2
L
29.07.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
4
1
W
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
17.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
0
W
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
09.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
3
2
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
18.04.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
2
D
14.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
04.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
2
3
L
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
14.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
5
2
W
H2H: Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid
30.07.23
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
30.07.23
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
13.04.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
0
0
D
05.04.22
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
Last matches: Manchester City
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
Inter
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
2
L
13.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Brentford
3
0
W
25.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Arsenal
2
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Liverpool
4
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
2
L
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Newcastle
2
1
W
14.02.26
FA
Manchester City
Salford City
2
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Fulham
3
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Manchester City
Galatasaray
2
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Wolves
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Manchester City
Exeter City
10
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Brighton
1
1
D
04.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pre
Manchester City
West Ham
3
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Manchester City
Sunderland
3
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Manchester City
Leeds
3
2
W
H2H at home: Manchester City
30.07.23
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
30.07.23
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
05.04.22
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
01.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
2
L
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
22.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
2
3
L
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
03.03.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
0
3
L
28.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
1
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Club Brugge KV
3
3
D
15.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0
3
L
05.02.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
5
0
W
31.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Levante
0
0
D
21.01.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Galatasaray
1
1
D
13.01.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
04.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
1
1
D
21.12.25
La
Atletico Madrid
Girona
3
0
W
H2H away: Atletico Madrid
30.07.23
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
2
W
30.07.23
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
2
W
05.04.22
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
0
L