Manchester City
Match Timeline
Atletico Madrid
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 61.4%
Draw 5.3%
Atletico Madrid Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City1.8
Atletico Madrid1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City
WWDLW
4 GF / 2 GA
Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
5 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Manchester City
2 matches
Atletico Madrid
2 matches
| Manchester City | Statistic | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 4 | Goals For | 5 |
| 2 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.5 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 2 times, Atletico Madrid won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Manchester City's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
H2H summary: Manchester City wins 2, draws 1, Atletico Madrid wins 2
Lineups
Manchester City
Formation
Atletico Madrid
G. Donnarumma
M. Nunes
R. Dias
Vitor Reis
J. Gvardiol
M. Kovacic
T. Reijnders
Savinho
P. Foden
A. Semenyo
O. Marmoush
J. Oblak
J. Dominguez
R. Le Normand
D. Hancko
D. Martinez
C. Martin
Koke
M. Hjulmand
O. Vargas
R. Mendoza
A. Lookman
Manchester City
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
25
G. Donnarumma
27
M. Nunes
3
R. Dias
22
Vitor Reis
↓ 46'
24
J. Gvardiol
🟨 89'
8
M. Kovacic
↓ 61'
4
T. Reijnders
26
Savinho
↓ 82'
47
P. Foden
42
A. Semenyo
🎯 57'
🎯 59'
↓ 63'
7
O. Marmoush
⚽ 57'
⚽ 59'
↓ 77'
Substitutes
13
M. Bettinelli
84
J. Wint
98
M. Chabot
21
R. Ait-Nouri
⚽ 90'
↑ 77'
82
R. Lewis
↑ 46'
30
C. Echeverri
↑ 82'
71
M. Sangare
93
X. Parker
40
J. Monga
75
F. Samba
14
Nico
↑ 61'
67
D. Mubama
🎯 90'
↑ 63'
68
M. Alleyne
81
J. Heskey
91
S. Mfuni
63
D. Mukasa
61
K. Braithwaite
89
M. Hendersson
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
13
J. Oblak
↓ 63'
27
J. Dominguez
⚽ 43'
↓ 63'
24
R. Le Normand
↓ 63'
17
D. Hancko
↓ 63'
30
D. Martinez
12
C. Martin
↓ 63'
6
Koke
↓ 63'
23
M. Hjulmand
🎯 43'
↓ 63'
🟨 55'
21
O. Vargas
↓ 63'
4
R. Mendoza
↓ 63'
22
A. Lookman
↓ 63'
Substitutes
31
S. Esquivel
↑ 63'
55
D. Rubio
15
T. Lemar
↑ 63'
2
J. Gimenez
↑ 63'
32
J. Bonar
↑ 63'
40
A. Puric
7
Lee Kang-In
↑ 63'
5
J. Cardoso
↑ 63'
47
A. Sola
↑ 63'
54
A. Ortiz
↑ 63'
8
P. Barrios
↑ 63'
49
R. Hueso
37
I. Luque
↑ 63'
46
J. Castillo
45
S. Esteban
61
M. Cubo
Last matches: Manchester City
28.08.26
Pre
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
4
1
W
23.08.26
Pre
Manchester City
Bournemouth
2
1
W
05.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
K-League Stars
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
Inter
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Bournemouth
1
1
D
16.05.26
FA
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Brentford
3
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Everton
3
3
D
25.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Burnley
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Arsenal
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Chelsea
3
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Liverpool
4
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
West Ham
1
1
D
11.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
0
3
L
07.03.26
FA
Manchester City
Newcastle
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
2
2
D
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
29.08.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
3
1
W
23.08.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
2
2
D
19.08.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
2
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Marseille
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
2
L
29.07.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
4
1
W
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
17.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
0
W
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
09.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
3
2
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
18.04.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
2
D
14.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
04.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
H2H: Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid
09.08.26
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
3
1
W
30.07.23
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
30.07.23
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
13.04.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
0
0
D
05.04.22
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
Last matches: Manchester City
23.08.26
Pre
Manchester City
Bournemouth
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
Inter
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
2
L
13.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Brentford
3
0
W
25.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Arsenal
2
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Liverpool
4
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
2
L
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Newcastle
2
1
W
14.02.26
FA
Manchester City
Salford City
2
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Fulham
3
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Manchester City
Galatasaray
2
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Wolves
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Manchester City
Exeter City
10
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Brighton
1
1
D
04.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pre
Manchester City
West Ham
3
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Manchester City
Sunderland
3
0
W
H2H at home: Manchester City
09.08.26
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
3
1
W
30.07.23
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
30.07.23
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
05.04.22
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
29.08.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
3
1
W
14.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Marseille
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
2
L
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
22.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
2
3
L
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
03.03.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
0
3
L
28.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
1
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Club Brugge KV
3
3
D
15.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0
3
L
05.02.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
5
0
W
31.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Levante
0
0
D
21.01.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Galatasaray
1
1
D
13.01.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
H2H away: Atletico Madrid
09.08.26
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
3
1
L
30.07.23
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
2
W
30.07.23
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
2
W
05.04.22
H2H
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
1
0
L