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09.08.2026 11:00
Seoul World Cup Stadium
Referee: K. Jong-Hyeok
Manchester City
Match Timeline
Atletico Madrid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
43'
J. Dominguez · Assist: M. Hjulmand
Atletico Madrid
🔄
46'
Vitor Reis ↔ R. Lewis
Manchester City
🟨
55'
M. Hjulmand
Atletico Madrid
⚽
57'
O. Marmoush · Assist: A. Semenyo
Manchester City
⚽
59'
O. Marmoush · Assist: A. Semenyo
Manchester City
🔄
61'
M. Kovacic ↔ Nico
Manchester City
🔄
63'
A. Semenyo ↔ D. Mubama
Manchester City
🔄
63'
J. Oblak ↔ S. Esquivel
Atletico Madrid
🔄
63'
O. Vargas ↔ T. Lemar
Atletico Madrid
🔄
63'
R. Le Normand ↔ J. Gimenez
Atletico Madrid
🔄
63'
J. Dominguez ↔ J. Bonar
Atletico Madrid
🔄
63'
R. Mendoza ↔ Lee Kang-In
Atletico Madrid
🔄
63'
M. Hjulmand ↔ J. Cardoso
Atletico Madrid
🔄
63'
D. Hancko ↔ A. Sola
Atletico Madrid
🔄
63'
A. Lookman ↔ A. Ortiz
Atletico Madrid
🔄
63'
Koke ↔ P. Barrios
Atletico Madrid
🔄
63'
C. Martin ↔ I. Luque
Atletico Madrid
🔄
77'
O. Marmoush ↔ R. Ait-Nouri
Manchester City
🔄
82'
Savinho ↔ C. Echeverri
Manchester City
🟨
89'
J. Gvardiol
Manchester City
⚽
90'
R. Ait-Nouri · Assist: D. Mubama
Manchester City

Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 61.4%
Draw 5.3%
Atletico Madrid Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City1.8
Atletico Madrid1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City Manchester City
WWDLW
4 GF / 2 GA
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
5 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester City Manchester City 2 matches
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2 matches
Manchester City Statistic Atletico Madrid
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 1
4 Goals For 5
2 Goals Against 3
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
2 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 2 times, Atletico Madrid won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Manchester City's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
H2H summary: Manchester City wins 2, draws 1, Atletico Madrid wins 2