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BULGARIA › FIRST LEAGUE
24.10.2026 15:00
Stadion Lokomotiv

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 65.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
65.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Lokomotiv Sofia Win 36%
Draw 29.3%
Botev Vratsa Win 34.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lokomotiv Sofia1.4
Botev Vratsa1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
WWDLW
28 GF / 34 GA
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
WLDWL
20 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
15
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
10
2.18
Shots on Goal
2.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 21 matches
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 20 matches
Lokomotiv Sofia Statistic Botev Vratsa
5 Wins 4
8 Draws 9
8 Losses 7
28 Goals For 20
34 Goals Against 30
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
15 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 6
2.18 Shots On Goal 2.18
4.82 Total Shots 6.09
2.36 Corners 2.91
19.6% Ball Possession 26.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Botev Vratsa. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Lokomotiv Sofia Analysis

So far, Lokomotiv Sofia have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 8 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 12:19 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botev Vratsa Analysis

Botev Vratsa sit 9 with 9 points after 11 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 9:20 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Sofia won 7 times, Botev Vratsa won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:11 from Lokomotiv Sofia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70.7%)
Predicted formations: Lokomotiv Sofia 4-2-3-1 / Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lokomotiv Sofia wins 7, draws 4, Botev Vratsa wins 4

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 23:4 19 28
W D W W W
2 11 8 3 0 27:9 18 27
W D W W D
3 10 8 2 0 21:7 14 26
W W W D D
4 11 7 1 3 21:13 8 22
L W W L W
5 11 6 1 4 17:14 3 19
W W W W L
6 11 5 2 4 15:17 -2 17
L D L L W
7 11 3 4 4 11:15 -4 13
W L D D D
8 11 2 5 4 9:9 0 11
L L D W L
9 11 2 3 6 9:20 -11 9
L D D W L
10 11 2 2 7 13:21 -8 8
W D L L D
11 11 2 2 7 6:14 -8 8
D D L W L
12 11 1 5 5 12:19 -7 8
D W L D L
13 11 2 2 7 10:21 -11 8
L L L L D
14 11 1 3 7 11:22 -11 6
L D D L L
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